Heisy
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Everything posted by Heisy
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Once it’s inside 6 days lol. That run was a few ticks away from burying us with two events. All you can ask for is a chance. Most guidance is farther SE than the GFS showing for the 20th. .
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Gotta love the GFS form a potential big one same time period that Euro had it today. .
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CMC and gfs well apart with the progression of things .
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20th time frame is gaining more steam. I thought initially we’d be delayed a few days to wait for the cold air, but the ridge out west has trended East, and things have sped up a bit. .
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6z euro Ai sort of looks like the 6z GFS Light to moderate snow event for the 20th cities N&W .
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Can see why here, lot of members must be separating the waves, leaving energy behind like cmc… .
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Yeah it’s not a suppression issue it’s a spacing issue on the gfs, but like you said we’re way out in time currently for the potential time period. .
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So the progression of things is starting to become more clear. Northern stream is cooperating. However, the wave (in my gif) here on the GFS near 4 corners we need it to be stronger and a bit slower than 18z is showing. Future runs root for more of a cmc type with that wave .
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Oh it’s actually decent, it just didn’t have as strong of a wave out west. Looks like it still skims us at least. .
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Bad spacing? Guess I’ll find out in an hour on wxbell .
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This one’s for Ji, end of JMA, looks good with the cold front pushing east and a lot of energy load up out west. .
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Looks like euro trapped energy out west, but still close enough, we track .
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Yea it’s a lighter side hit, but if all the energy had come East, would have been like the cmc. It was close enough anyway at this range. We take for now .
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Looks like some energy got pinched off in the Southwest flow got ahead of it .
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You have SV eh, what’s it do?! .
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Let’s see if we can get separation with the trailer wave .
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@mitchnick Euro looking very similar to the cmc so far .
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12z GEFS trend, can tell it’s moving towards leaving energy behind the front. Solid step .
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It’s getting colder as the storm is progressing since the HP is building in as the storm commences .
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Big hit, the good news I take from both of these runs is they are very similar to the euro AI progression .
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Man Mitch cmc looks secsy .
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GFS is trying to get things going late here….i realize this is far out, nothing else to really look at .
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Now 12z cmc, close to a woof woof signal here fellas. CAN definitely tell this might lead to some good things here. Northern stream is clearing and the left over energy looks pretty strong .
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Better separation between initial front and energy behind, see if it can produce anything .
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Yea there’s ways to win and fail, we don’t want the eventual trough to come East as one event. The runs that give us snow seem to hold back energy while allowing the cold front to clear first. .
