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Heisy

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Everything posted by Heisy

  1. Like Walt will say, if storm potential is real you usually want the cmc to come in juiced. It’s likely too juiced, but a good signal for warning event
  2. CMC also tries to cut an ULL off under the block day 9. It forms too Far East, but tip was talking about that event earlier today. One thing with blocks is the potential for slow moving closed off events. Down here in Philly it may be one way I can cash in. Man you guys complain but you have no idea how lucky you are lol
  3. Hey just wanted to let ya know I plan on moving to Worcester next fall. Depends on work of course, but the next 10 months will be solely working on that goal. Excited! You guys will never get rid of me then, sorry.
  4. Much improved long range euro run so far. At 222 block is moving more west pushing confluence south losetoa beat me by 1 second, ugh
  5. My Sv maps have 8-12” in MA
  6. Ukie Looks kind of interesting 144 hrs. Idk how temps are between 120-144
  7. No cold air unfortunately
  8. Yeah but last few runs starting to increase that wave strength. I think temps will end up being the issue
  9. Euro did try to get that follow up wave up the coast. Regardless of ptype it was a huge nod to the para idea
  10. Grasping at straws, but one of the best looking blocks yet on the op gfs in fantasy land. West based. Pac improvements too
  11. All that and then the Ukie comes in completely amped haha
  12. I agree, what a big chance on cmc. Let’s see what Ukie/euro have in store...cmc is a nice hit for SNE day 7
  13. Can’t post Sv maps but cmc looks 10x more impressive. This ice potential may have quietly snuck up on us. Luckily I’m in Philly don’t have to deal with that crap.
  14. CMC is an epic ice storm this run in the NW burbs . Yikes
  15. Wait till you see the cmc. Farther south HP It doesn’t have precip north of md line at 120 hrs
  16. Para didn’t really lose it, it was just rain instead lol
  17. Just a general question. Why arent the height lines in the AO region more curved like they are in the alaska trough. I know means are smoothed out I’m just worried we’d see more of the same current pattern
  18. Para gfs once again has a strong follow up wave and develops a snowstorm out of it
  19. Majority of winter? Huh? It’s not even NYE. We have 3 full months technically with how March is these days. In fact I’d venture to say March is the best winter month of the season lately at least down here in Philly. Yeah you can subtract a week - 12 days in January right now based on the look currently, but we’re just getting started.
  20. There’s two long shots to get snow in the next week. 1) we get a 12z ukmet scenario where the initial cutter drags and disconnects its energy, cold push allows hp to build in and another low forms on the frontal boundary. 2) para gfs scenario with a strong second wave Not likely, but not impossible I guess. Both scenarios involve perfect spacing and timing, but don’t 90% of our snowstorms? I’m all in for a fun 00z
  21. If you want hope. 18z para gfs has a strong follow up wave and is a snowstorm from dc to SNE lol
  22. Interesting. Just trying to find ways we could snow. Para gfs winds up the cutter, but has enough energy with follow up wave it develops a coastal.
  23. Oh i see pivotalwx has the para gfs off runs
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