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Heisy

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Everything posted by Heisy

  1. It’s because the h7 low keeps trending N imo.
  2. CMC wrap around is insane there’s flurries 1am Wednesday haha
  3. 2016 vibes for city, fgen sets pivot nw could be an issue, still would do great though, but March 58 vibes west and northwest. Someone might hit 3 feet there if these trends continue. I will Be chasing anyway so Idc lol
  4. Very 2016esque vibes with the ccb band forming Nw on mesos.
  5. Epic euro run. It’s still snowing there at the end of the run. I’m all in
  6. For my northeast Philly first call, (i always do%s until game day) 40% 8-12 40% 4-8 10% <4 10% >12
  7. It’s never final consensus. I mean we’re at the stage where we can start talking about totals, but it’s still early. On our forum someone posted discussion back from 2016. Just 48 hours out the euro didn’t crush the nw Philly burbs and finally as the storm was literally starting it shifted N
  8. Just a heads up but HM on phillywx mentioned in a post last night saying ratios may actually not be good. He said it was too soon to say, but just throwing it out there. Has to do with the Fgen forcing etc I don’t want to copy his post without his permission though since it wasn’t a call just interesting discussion
  9. It kind of is similar to NAM with evolution where the h7 low is farther N once it spins near the coast you get the coastal ccb which rakes NJ
  10. While the precip location is good it did increase the confluence wave big time. Just had a stronger upper level low and PVA to make up for it
  11. What is wrong with 4+ 3+ days out? It just gives the general public knowledge of potential snow. Look at the models, no one knows. Euro could go even farther south at 12z while others have a foot. So idk. wish we could get a reasonable euro run today, if we do considering every other model gives us decent snow it might be game on
  12. We get a reasonable euro run today I think it’s game on, but this hobby is NEVER that easy. So I don’t expect that to happen. Maybe a slight tick NW?
  13. Its been very consistent with that look.
  14. CMC doesn’t come out until 11, unless You mean rgem?
  15. Edit: Sorry SV maps overdo snow when it’s too warm so I never know how accurate it is for this model
  16. A lot of the Philly pros/posters migrated to phillywx.com FYI, that’s why it’s dead there
  17. Some of us are like that and others are like me, give me one HECS a winter surrounded by temps in the 60s. I track for severe storms, 3-6” are fine but at the end of the storm you’re always pining for more. Idk. We need a shift N at 00z stop the bleeding the main culprit is that shortwave near N New England, been trending stronger each run
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