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Heisy

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Everything posted by Heisy

  1. Yea that’s where I got my images from. Was just a rhetorical question I suppose lol
  2. Thought this was interesting. I knew I had seen a similar H5 looking map. The event shown on today’s 12z euro looks really similar to December 18-20 1995. Any older people on here remember that one?
  3. Even with a block you need to time correctly placed confluence and ULLs in se Canada. Especially since this would potentially be the first wave and won’t have the prime air mass yet. Compare the OP progression between the gfs and euro and you’ll see why they are each doing what they are doing. Gfs sucks though and will cave in a run or two
  4. Of course HH gfs coming out like molasses. Happy New Year’s Eve, gfs must be drunk
  5. Atlantic blocking patterns aren’t usually sustained cold. We can still get plenty of snow with normal or above temps. In fact it seems these days we get snow then warm up wash and repeat. Wouldn’t worry about temps. Today we’re seeing models start to give us some scenarios where we benefit from well timed blocking and confluence
  6. Ukie and cmc actually have that trailer piece phasing into the system. Ukie looks east early on but the phase starts to bring it back to the coast
  7. It’s another interior hit, but it’s a really dynamic and intense storm. Fantasy land just fun to look at. As a chaser I root on the most obscene solution possible lol. Check out the total snowfall for Ne this run. Pretty crazy for interior.
  8. Yep. It has a sick NNE bomb before that which is the last wave of many that finally ushers in some cold. We have a stationary west based block and some transient rushing. This is a weenie run for the LR. Wish it was day 7 and not what it is lol
  9. Gfs goes nuts for the 11th. Weenie range, but I’m sure tip will get his imagination running with that one. Damn lol
  10. Gfs pattern at 276 is pretty epic. Is that an -epo trying to form too?
  11. Full on epic block on 00z gfs around day 11....with some major pacific improvements too at that time frame. Looks like an -epo trying to form too. Sick pattern.
  12. CMC is an absolute insane run for interior based on the good ol black and white maps lol
  13. Since 12/30/00 is being discussed. Famartin has an incredible archive. His YouTube page has tons of nostalgic vids. From 12/30/00 What’s really strange is I vividly remember the weather channels miss Cleo infomercials in the late 90s early 2000s lmao. I actually recall watching this clip live. Once again, no clue why but I remember every detail of this storm well
  14. Yeah I stayed up watching the precip form off the Carolinas. I fell asleep at like 4-5am right before it started in Philly and slept through the heaviest part lol. I always like to be awake for the first flakes, just my thing. I got 7-8 or so in northeast philly.
  15. This storm is so nostalgic for me. Even though philly didn’t do great it was the first storm I tracked on wx forums. Remember reading DT on wright weather/twc forums posting about it lol. Idk why I remember this, but a few days before this event models actually had a huge Miller A system. Of course that didn’t come to fruition and the northern branch did its own dirty business.
  16. Why does the para on pivotal look different? Woops my fault had wrong hour on haha
  17. Nice post tip. 12z cmc seems to have a nice 988mb low in a good spot looking at the B & w maps
  18. Man check out the 6z gfs. Run its loop in entirety. It’s just swfe after swfe. If you guys can tick a little colder it could be a parade of storms with all this pac energy undercutting the block.
  19. Man the 12z NAM H5 at the end of the run looked nice as well. Storm chasing potential for back to back events? Sounds like a plan
  20. Amazing looking block at end of euro run. That is a friggin pretty Atlantic. Pac looks okay too. Came close to having a big storm day 9 imo. If that wave was stronger...
  21. Really close call to a much better storm. That is frigging amazing pattern at the end of the run. Let’s cross our fingers. Full on west based retrograding block.
  22. Wow euro actually has a really good setup day 9. It closes off the Rainer in perfect confluence spot. Energy cutting underneath the block. It might be kind of weak sauce but it’s def a good look.
  23. Phin I swear was just about to post saying you’d probably nutted after seeing this run lol. I’d contemplate chasing up there if this idea holds, I’m off from work after I finish job tomorrow so I could spend a few days up there. Highly considering it!
  24. Boxing Day is my least favorite storm of all time. It started with the crazy gfs runs 2-3 days out when all the models had lost the storm only to bring it back. It was Looking like we’d be right in the heart of it, but those crazy deformation bands stayed just to my east (philly). I vividly remember reading your guys NYC obs thread and earth light having a weeniegasm while it was piling up. One day philly will get one of those pivots. They either setup too far Nw or too Far East.
  25. I think this time next week we’ll have some very interesting events on the horizon. Aka we’ll be digital snow tracking lol. I’ll ban myself if I’m wrong but I’m starting to get excited.
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