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Everything posted by AmericanWxFreak
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January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion
AmericanWxFreak replied to snowfan's topic in Mid Atlantic
Bet the opposite, free money glitch. -
January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion
AmericanWxFreak replied to snowfan's topic in Mid Atlantic
I thought everyone was just glazing this dude... lol -
January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion
AmericanWxFreak replied to snowfan's topic in Mid Atlantic
Im out. -
January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage OBS Thread!
AmericanWxFreak replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Kind of surprised, the roads around my place are not too bad actually. I think the dry aspect of the sleet really did help with removal. I’ll take the day off work anyway! . -
January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage OBS Thread!
AmericanWxFreak replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Thankfully, practically no snow stuck to trees with this storm. So the ice won’t have that to cling to and add extra weight. -
January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage OBS Thread!
AmericanWxFreak replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
I used to look up to the guy, now I’ll just have a bad taste in my mouth when I see the name. SMH. -
January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage JV/Banter Thread!
AmericanWxFreak replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
So will MD be up and running on Monday with this timing? -
January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage OBS Thread!
AmericanWxFreak replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Username checks out. Cold with heavy salt accumulations here in EC -
January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage OBS Thread!
AmericanWxFreak replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
if I was a betting man… -
Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
AmericanWxFreak replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Good thing the Apple Weather app still shows 20-24” for Ellicott City - I’m sure people won’t use that to further claim how “useless us weather people are” lol -
Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
AmericanWxFreak replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Seems later then a lot of other guidance eh? . -
January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage JV/Banter Thread!
AmericanWxFreak replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
Love that spot. I live in Turf Valley now, hoping the little bit of extra elevation helps me this weekend! -
January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage JV/Banter Thread!
AmericanWxFreak replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
Barebones? -
Early Happy Hour vibes - lets keep it rolling
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The map is titled "Snow Accumulation" however.
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Am I blind or did I see no mention of the 6z NAM? .
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That is uh, not super inspiring...
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New Day 2 Outlook pretty much unchanged - however, wording suggests the potential for our area to see an upgrade later on and insight into why they arent pulling the trigger yet... ...New England into the Mid-Atlantic/Southeast... Strong heating is expected across a broad, moist warm sector with dewpoints in the upper 60s to low 70s east of the Appalachians by Thursday afternoon. This will result in moderate to potentially strong instability across much of the East Coast. The best chance for more organized storms will be from central Virginia northward where stronger shear will be present beneath 50 knot mid-level flow. A zone of potentially greater severe weather probabilities may be present across the Mid-Atlantic where the greatest instability/shear are expected to overlap. It appears the cold front will lag well behind with the majority of convection developing along a pre-frontal trough during the afternoon. Without the stronger frontal forcing, some concerns about convective coverage/intensity exist, precluding higher probabilities at this time. South of this area, mid-level flow will not be as strong. Therefore, more modest shear will limit greater storm organization. Nonetheless, modest (25 knot) shear will support some multicell storms capable of damaging wind gusts across North Carolina. Even weaker shear will be present across the southeast where strong instability is expected. Storms are not expected to be as organized here, but the strong instability and moist environment could support some water-loaded downdrafts capable of damaging wind gusts.
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15% hail area removed from midday D1 update - otherwise, pretty much the same for our neck.
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Was surprised to see as much soon as we have so far here in Jessup.
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