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madwx

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Everything posted by madwx

  1. madwx
    GFS with a very solid hit for N IA through S WI. Even Rockford gets 3-4” on this run. But it’s the GFS 72 hours out so who knows
  2. madwx
    12z Euro trending southward. Brings 3-5" snow totals to S Wisconsin
  3. madwx
    All of the models are consistently showing a swath of 3-6"+ for the northern half of the subforum from early Sunday through Monday, with the higher totals to the west and lower totals to the east as the wave weakens. The Euro is further N with the band of snow while the GFS, Canadian and UKMET are in the southern camp for now. GEFS mean looks solid for N Iowa, S Minnesota and Wisconsin.
  4. madwx
    37.4" of snow here on the season. 8.1" in Oct, 7.6" in Nov, 2.9" in Dec and 18.8" in Jan.
  5. madwx
    Tied for the 10th warmest January at MSN
  6. madwx
    record high broken both at 11 am at MSN and MKE. Up to 50 here with a couple more hours to increase the temp. the snowpack will survive this but it's definitely taking a hit
  7. madwx
    Record high of 47 in Madison about to go down as it was already 46 as of 9 am. Today is tied with 3 other days having the coldest record high temp so it was one of the easiest to break
  8. madwx
    Here’s the AFD from Milwaukee describing it as well
  9. madwx
    Getting some power plant effect snow in eastern Dane county from the plant up by Portage
  10. madwx
    Madison is flirting with a top 10 warmest January of all time. Will need to average ~27.6 over the next 5 days to get in the top 10 and the point forecast has us averaging 27.7.
  11. madwx
    Luckily we have a few (possibly) silver linings: 1) its not guaranteed yet that a SSW will occur, only half of the GEFS have a warming occurring in the next 2 weeks 2) Not all SSW are the same and depending on how the vortex gets split/the alignment of the blocking we may not get brutal cold 3) By the second half of May, when prime storm chase season is occurring, the weather patterns are not really connected to any SSW occurring in Feb/Mar
  12. madwx
    Such a gloomy forecast for the upcoming week. It's been awhile since we've had such a cloudy stretch on this side of the lakes.
  13. madwx
    Long range models indicating an increased chance of a SSW during the month of February. Defintely not set in stone but slightly concerning for people hoping for a warm early spring.
  14. madwx
    we're in the middle of what looks to be a 6-10 hour gap in snowfall on the west side of Madison. Definitely some slight melting of snow occurring.
  15. madwx
    1.1" overnight but not accumulating that much on roads and sidewalks. Snow depth up to 6" this morning.
  16. madwx
    Not sure how much we can add to the snowpack. things might compact as quickly as they accumulate and melting will be occurring during the daytime
  17. madwx
    Snow depth this morning was 5". Will be interesting to see how much it will actually change over the next few days
  18. madwx
    record setting amounts of drizzle
  19. madwx
    QPF numbers have been trending downward on the GFS with this system. Will be interesting to note this trend throughout the next couple days
  20. madwx
    Got down to 0 last night. A couple chances at subzero lows the next two nights but this stretch is looking milder than it did a few days ago
  21. madwx
    5.2” here in MSN with a light glaze on top
  22. madwx
    Rates are still good here and it’s nice and gusty out but some dry patches in the radar are showing up to the west. Hope the snow doesn’t shut off too soon
  23. madwx
    Snow started 15 mins ago and it’s already moderate snow and accumulating nicely. Visibility is definitely below a mile
  24. madwx
    Got down to 1 here this morning. Tying our lowest temp of the winter. Looks like a good chance to go below 0 Sunday thru Tuesday
  25. madwx
    was spot on with my wave 1 call of 3.3" but I'm going to bust hard with wave 2. Looking more like an inch, maybe 2
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