madwx

won't happen verbatim but a sample of the airmasses we'll be dealing with

too much festering precip. oh well, our peak severe season doesn't really start for another month

May 3-10 or so looks like it could be very cool for the time of year, especially in the eastern part of the subforum

i'll be out if anything tracks into S WI, gotta get my storm chances in considering I most likely won't be able to go to the plains to chase this year

Check back at the end of June

yeah we are only catching 10% cases so in most states the rate of cases is just the amount of testing. A better method of seeing how many people are infected in each state is to count the deaths and assume the fatality rate is around 0.5-0.7% and calculate the cases from that.

I think a lot of the current spread is in places that people aren't able to social distance (prisons, work at meat packing plants, health care workers, etc.)

How do you propose infecting 80% of the population asap without massively overloading the hospital system. 20% of NYC got infected over 2 months and their system was on the brink of being overloaded.

the infection rate map mostly mirrors the testing rate map which is a good indicator that we're not catching all the cases

looking like a trend to a weak la nina as summer goes on and atlantic/gom temps are above average. Wonder if we will have a couple tropical systems impact the midwest

that would mean the actual infections have been about 10x the reported infections, if not slightly more.

this weather must be how winter weenies feel when it’s in the 70s in late November

increasing evidence that Hydroxychloroquine has either no effect or a slight negative impact on patients being treated with it: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.16.20065920v1

the only person that's been called a moron and idiot in the last 5 pages is the governor of Florida. I don't see any other name calling recently and everyone seems civil.

its not the number of deaths that's the scary part its how easily it could overwhelm the hospital system, its why we are doing this.

bought 2 bottles on February 23. Probably the best purchase i made this year

how about we make some sacrifices for the next year but don't shut everything down. both the 'shut everything down' and the 'screw it im gonna live my life like i used to' points of view are unrealistic and will cause the most damage. if we have continued social distancing, good hygeine measures, markedly increased antibody testing, no large gatherings like sporting events and concerts and shorter periods of stricter methods if any areas become hotspots then we don't have to choose from the false dichotomy that you've presented.

May 15 with a slow phase in after that, then maintaining a baseline of social distancing for around next year. Any time we can buy to get better treatments/therapeutics more widely available is essential. We've done a pretty good job flattening this first wave but we need to be prepared for waves to come again later, especially if we relax social distancing too much.

yeah unfortunately fast food is one of the only options for lower income people who are working extended hours during this time, and agreed on alcohol withdrawal. I don't think people realize how many americans are physically dependent on alcohol

And of course the Supreme Court blocked the order so the election is on again

yeah not sure why Northern Illinois was basically completely removed. HREF probs look pretty good for storms in the area and there will be a front moving through at peak heating.

Gov. Evers issued an executive order pushing the Wisconsin election back to June 9th. Great news as I was worried that in person voting tomorrow would cause a great deal of spread in the state

the 0z 3km NAM is a step in the right direction, slowing down the wave and having slightly more realistic boundary layer heating. The WRFs seem to be convecting over Southern Wisconsin/Iowa in the late afternoon. Slightly intrigued by the setup. Think there could be some severe in Wisconsin, especially if the wave stays a bit slower.

I’m pretty sure this is a fake chart. Here is a screenshot from cdc.gov with the total pneumonia and influenza deaths

its also because most people with mild to moderate symptoms are not going to get tested a second time to see if they are negative for the virus so theres no easy way to add them to the recovered statistic