madwx

looking good

Down to 32 at my house. First official freeze of the season. Live in a bit of a depression so always run cold on clear calm mornings like this

Areas of northern Wisconsin had a frost advisory this morning and now have a slight risk of severe storms this evening. Probably a very rare combo to get both in the same day

Looks to be forming a core, convection is increasing around 10N 32W

Kirk is popping an eye now. Should be reaching major status in the next 12 hours

Got down to 36 at the house this morning. Tantalizingly close to a frost

Looking ahead we have 5 areas to focus on over the next 10 days Hurricane Kirk will become a major and recurve throughout the next week. Will be a major ACE producer 91L will become a TD today and will also likely become a major. This will track further south and west than Kirk but should still recurve before the islands the GOM area of interest - this still has a good chance to develop but the ceiling is more limited as it’s lifted NE over Florida The wave after 91L will leave Africa this week, it has a chance to become a storm but expecting an early recurve as well Finally around mid month it appears we’ll have increased odds of something developing in the western Caribbean

WPAC typhoons will likely lead to downstream wave breaking and cooler weather near mid month

Correct. I edited my post to clarify it better

A couple neat records to keep track of, Madison has broken its record of consecutive days with high temps 65 or above with 140 currently and no end in sight. The old record was 135 set in 2021. We will also set our record of consecutive max temps at 60 or above this weekend.

It’s going to be hot here this week. Looking a hair under record territory

Down to 41 this morning. After tonight looking like above average temps for the foreseeable future

A cool airmass will push into the northern half of the area this weekend. Looking like a few more chances of cool NW flow heading into the weekend after Labor Day. Before we know it we’ll be tracking some rainy and windy fall storms

record warm low of 75 yesterday. this morning the low was 78 but storms have a good chance of knocking it below that this evening

looks like a good spin at 10N, 43W. Surprised none of the models are picking up on development of this

Heavy rain event was a bust. Looking forward to this hint of September over the next 6 days

Cool ENE surface flow this morning. I’m selling any sig severe chances in Southern Wisconsin

best climo?

2 day rain total of 2.63” so far

Just look how it’s resolving the convection in Minnesota. Should give you some peace of mind

Got 1.31” with the evening storms yesterday which brought the daily total to 2.59”. July off to a wet start as well

1.28” with the morning rain here. Should get a similar amount this evening. Flood watch has been issued

1.54” yesterday. Bringing our monthly total up to 11.96”

89/78 at the house currently. Pretty heckin oppressive

Ended with 3.80” today and an event total of 6.00”. Pretty, pretty impressive