madwx
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Everything posted by madwx
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Freezing fog came in overnight and deposited rime ice on everything. Looks as if it had snowed overnight
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bright sunshine this morning. nice change of pace. rime ice was pretty brilliant in the sunshine
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Yeah I always hear about the LRC a few times a winter which makes me think they just find a couple times it matches the pattern from ~45 days back and make it work. If it was a true match we could just map out the whole winter.
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this guy gets infected
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parts of DMX that were under a WSW until 6 AM are now probably only going to get freezing drizzle the rest of the storm La Crosse area is going to really get shafted. They were under an advisory(1 county away from a warning) and only had 0.8" as of 6pm
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lol the back end is already approaching the Mississippi River N of Dubuque. gotta go fast. Edit: a good 8 hours ahead of when the NAM has the back edge crossing the river
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Pivotal has it. Its running 4 times daily for the next month as this is part of its final test before becoming operational.
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lull here now. should pick back up soon enough though
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to highlight how quick hitting this will be in the end(at least north of the WI/IL border) the back end of the snow is already approaching I35 in Iowa.
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already accumulating. not huge flakes but pretty efficient.
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and it's started at my place. flurries now but should ramp up quickly
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based on Radar and mPing snow is spreading into Madison. About an hour or two earlier than models suggested. It's easily overcoming the dry low levels
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La Crosse bringing top notch banter to their forecast discussion
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6.5” final call here with snow ending by 1 am and some patchy freezing drizzle until sunrise
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We’re going to moisten up pretty rapidly this afternoon and go gangbusters for a few hours
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Cloud bases still at 17,000 feet here. Going to need all of the next 7 hours to saturate
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one thing for sure this will be a quick hitter. Can see the snow winding down in Madison by around midnight with only maybe an inch or two at best after that
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Yeah lots of selective memory bias with how models performed in the past. There’s not some magical thing that’s made them worse in the past few years. They have gotten slightly better over the time. For example take a look at the GFS v16. It has been regularly outperforming the standard GFS so far the past few months
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Canadian a touch north with the main band. Looks like the models are settling in now
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Unless the 0z global models change their tune and move NW it's everyone vs the NAMs FWIW.
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HRRR SE once again. Cyclone might reel this one in
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12km NAM a good step south to come more in line with the 3km and closer to the HRRR
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wagons south again. A triangle between DBQ, MSN and RFD have to like where they are sitting
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Wagons south on the first storm. Think there’s gonna be a nice band of double digit totals
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At least we’ll get some snow. Maybe even 2 advisories between the 2 waves
