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madwx

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Everything posted by madwx

  1. Sable Island MSLP down to 978. Sustained winds only around 30 knots though
  2. There are some difference between how the GFS and Euro handle upper features beyond 48 hours, but staying around 15 N through tomorrow evening will give credence that a path somewhere between the GFS and Euro into the GOM is correct.
  3. the convection is tugging the center of the gyre and it seems to be heading due west now. Will have to keep an eye on how long it stays below 15 degrees. Most of the models hold it around the latitude until Saturday evening.
  4. yep, most intense blow up of convection yet on the downshear side of the circulation
  5. I'm guessing you mean Hermine? Though with the way things are going in the eastern Atlantic 98L might end up being Ian or even Julia
  6. Pretty amazing bust on the CAMs which did not predict the line of storms going through southern wisconsin
  7. Along those lines, likely the last time we’ll have dewpoints in the 70s this season in S WI
  8. About to depart CLT on a flight back to Madison. Switched to the left side of the plane to hopefully get some nice views of the storms
  9. 3.09” storm total so far MSN and MKE both broke daily rainfall records yesterday
  10. Steady rain has started here. Relatives in NW Dane County have already gotten an inch. Makes some of those crazy high totals look reachable
  11. NAM, GFS and Euro all now showing over 3" here from tomorrow evening through Monday. NAM even going a little crazy and giving all of Dane county almost 6"
  12. Looks like we may be in the bullseye of the heavy rain this weekend. The GFS and Euro both give us over 2". The NAM has been a bit more inconsistent with it's main swath
  13. Wildfire smoke finally made it here this year. Tempered highs today just in the lower 80s instead of the expected mid 80s
  14. got 1.75" yesterday, most storms have been overperforming with precip recently
  15. yeah, a few days ago it had some places only having highs in the teens in Alaska, has rebounded to showing those same places in the upper 40s to low 50s now
  16. 3.05" overnight, well over projections. Brings the August total at my house to 7.97"
  17. Gonna get a nice shot of Canadian air after the front this evening. Might have temps down in the upper 40s on Friday morning
  18. 2.54” since the precip started last night at 11:30. Still raining this morning and will have another round tonight
  19. Looking like a potential heavy rain event over the next 36 hours. MKX talking upwards of 10” over multiple rounds
  20. looking forward to this weekend's thunderstorms, with a chance of severe, and then the cooler weather settling in for early next week. This semi-permanent roller coaster has been enjoyable
  21. 0.71” just after 1 AM this morning. Good start to April August (what's 4 months between friends)
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