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madwx

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Everything posted by madwx

  1. madwx
    Just had some thunder with some post frontal storms moving in. This is certainly one of the more dynamic systems we've had recently.
  2. madwx
    surprise tornado warning in SE Wisconsin. Looks like multiple spinups in a QLCS
  3. madwx
    Already down to 31 at my house. Cold air drainage working well tonight
  4. madwx
  5. madwx
    intentional typo?
  6. madwx
  7. madwx
  8. madwx
    A good number of them are though. Once again, poor people will be disproportionally affected by this hurricane.
  9. madwx
    Listening to the EMS for Lee County is pretty rough, so many disabled people stranded in water or people in mobile homes stranded in water
  10. madwx
    good thing they don't have state income tax so they can put that money into home insurance
  11. madwx
    Damn, what a hellscape
  12. madwx
    Hurricane Michael, 4 years ago
  13. madwx
    low cuts from Omaha to Duluth, we get record high temps and a highly forced lined of storms. QLCS tornadoes galore. Fargo gets 30"
  14. madwx
    It was a line of starlink satellites
  15. madwx
    That’s likely to be the dominant one. Should see it fully consolidate by 6z tonight
  16. madwx
    That’s associated with the old mid level center. I’ll assume the mid and low level centers will focus around 14.3N since that’s where the convection is generating the most PV
  17. madwx
    https://www.aviationweather.gov/metar/data?ids=CWSA&format=decoded&date=&hours=6 Sable Island. Note that there haven't been any new METARs in an hour
  18. madwx
    the cone doesn't get update during the intermediate advisories. just the full ones at 5 and 11
  19. madwx
    Sable Island MSLP down to 978. Sustained winds only around 30 knots though
  20. madwx
    There are some difference between how the GFS and Euro handle upper features beyond 48 hours, but staying around 15 N through tomorrow evening will give credence that a path somewhere between the GFS and Euro into the GOM is correct.
  21. madwx
    the convection is tugging the center of the gyre and it seems to be heading due west now. Will have to keep an eye on how long it stays below 15 degrees. Most of the models hold it around the latitude until Saturday evening.
  22. madwx
    yep, most intense blow up of convection yet on the downshear side of the circulation
  23. madwx
    I'm guessing you mean Hermine? Though with the way things are going in the eastern Atlantic 98L might end up being Ian or even Julia
  24. madwx
    Pretty amazing bust on the CAMs which did not predict the line of storms going through southern wisconsin
  25. madwx
    Along those lines, likely the last time we’ll have dewpoints in the 70s this season in S WI
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