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madwx

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Everything posted by madwx

  1. 0Z GFS is just a tick NW of 18Z but otherwise almost identical
  2. Definite overperformer up here. Roads and sidewalks completely covered
  3. Yeah 23” so far this winter. Only 1” below average
  4. 3rd warmest first 19 days of January on record. Only 1880 and 2006 have been warmer
  5. 1.9” at the house. Got up to 36 this afternoon. Steady dripping from the roof and downspouts when I got home
  6. Snow in the morning. On the n side of a system and we’re still going to have a +13 degree departure from average today. Pretty impressive
  7. The sleet monster is back here. Pretty good pinging on our windows
  8. just got done walking the dog and the wind picked up notably in the past hour
  9. Starting with some sleet here. Should switch over to flurries shortly
  10. HRRR really honing in on a 2-3 hour stretch between midnight and 4 AM where we get walloped with 2-3" and then the snow shuts off after that
  11. Last week of January and first week of February look cool to cold across the sub. Looks like the SE ridge will flex after than and shift the cold to the NW. The real question will be how the PV weakening event around the 25th of January will impact weather the last half of February and into March.
  12. Looks like the models are honing in on 2” here. Should all fall between 9 PM and 3 AM with some drizzle afterwards
  13. Looking like a T to 1" right now. Too much warm air advection pushes the rain/snow/mix line northward and then the dry slot moves in and cuts off the precip
  14. NAM and GFS bumped NW at 6Z to get more in line with the Euro. Looking likely to be around 2-3" here
  15. The GFS and NAM both wallop us over a short period. From about 9PM to 6AM. Dry air before and after that shut down snowfall
  16. looks like we'll be riding the razors edge of any significant accumulation. Anywhere between T-6" looks possible
  17. CAA behind a deepening low with gusty northerly winds and we're still touching mid to upper 30s here today
  18. The storm later next week piques my interest but overall I'm hammering the under
  19. 4th warmest first 10 days of January at MSN. only 1880, 1939 and 2007 were warmer
  20. 15.4" on the month and 20.2" on the season. The increase in snow totals just by gaining the degree and a half of latitude between us is always impressive
  21. only 3.2" off. not a bad call for 3 days out
  22. Looks like it could stack nicely overnight. These systems on the backend of cold snaps usually overperform. Final call of 3.2” here
  23. got down to -13 this morning. up to a balmy -11. full sun here but the roads are still snow covered.
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