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weathafella

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Everything posted by weathafella

  1. weathafella
    Thanks for triggering him
  2. weathafella
    Good point! We’ll know later today I guess but I don’t he’ll commit until tomorrow.
  3. weathafella
    With every 2020 model doing it I would avoid counting on the Hail Mary from your own 35 yard line with 1 second left
  4. weathafella
    January 2015 was not seen until d3-4 and never forecasted to dampen by multiple models. January 05 the euro was locked and loaded d7 in but it trended north in the final 2 days. December 2004 had no major SNE storms other than the local Boxing Day 10-12 inch event from a hook and latter (no not ladder!). February 2013 euro was locked and loaded for 7 days while gfs flailed around.
  5. weathafella
    H7/H85 look pretty good on the euro. I’ll be surprised with such a sharp cutoff
  6. weathafella
    Along those lines...decided not to buy the blower. Gonna try one more season shoveling. For a storm approaching a foot, will try every 6 inches. If it’s too much I’ll buy..
  7. weathafella
    Damn...couldn’t edit fast enough!
  8. weathafella
    I need to get back to Greenhouse...lol.
  9. weathafella
    Being Near the pike (maybe 1-2 miles south) I’m optimistic for a nice dumping.
  10. weathafella
    Well we’ll be driving to Chicago next week so order up a cutter around 12/25-30.
  11. weathafella
    Right which is why I laugh. We had no school for 2 days/unheard of back then. NYC schools closed for the first time since the 26 inches of 12/26/47
  12. weathafella
    Crusher DC-BOS. Cold (near 10 during storm) and huge winds. Kicked off an incredible winter!
  13. weathafella
    Uncle is 12/11-12,1960.
  14. weathafella
    Move it up. Airlines don’t like their planes stuck so even though it should be just beginning at 10 PM Wednesday night they may cancel preemptively.
  15. weathafella
    Man....going to bed at 4:30 AM and still a half hour reading to catch up. It's winter and a storm is coming. I'm thinking a general 8-14 for most of SNE.
  16. weathafella
    Damn....bed so late. Hopefully I'll be up before Euro starts running for the 12Z suite....
  17. weathafella
    I'm up too. Long time since I got 6z before bed. NAM was insane-makes me want to toss.
  18. weathafella
    I only looked at the EPS snow maps and they look about the same as prior runs.
  19. weathafella
    Kind of dog shit north of the Pike though. Hopefully it's a hiccup.
  20. weathafella
    Bullshit. What we think vs verification scores are not the same. I think the correlation scores for 10+ years have favored euro as #1, ukmet 2, gfs 3, cmc 4 but sometimes they flip around. Unfortunately I do t have the link, sorry. Someone maybe has it?
  21. weathafella
    NAM does.
  22. weathafella
    I believe it’s uncle even though it seems wildly inconsistent at times.
  23. weathafella
    Ukmet is NAMish
  24. weathafella
    You didn’t answer my question. When has the outlier been right when it’s been the gfs In a bog system?
  25. weathafella
    When?
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