Jump to content

weathafella

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    49,067

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by weathafella

  1. weathafella
    It’s better to know the biases and weaknesses of each. Gfs has always had trouble with east coast cyclogenesis. Euro has amp bias and holding energy in the SW USA. But a basic rule of thumb is don’t lean on the outlier model.
  2. weathafella
    In what way was gfs better vs euro. And if you tell me one was better at d7 it doesn’t count.
  3. weathafella
    Also, regarding 0Z, gfs/GEFS are outliers vs the rest of the guidance. Just including the semi respectable models, cmc, euro vs gfs.
  4. weathafella
    When?
  5. weathafella
    Large swath of 12+ on the eps.
  6. weathafella
    EPS are the 51 member euro ensembles. They tend to outscore the others at least in part to the sheer number of perturbations.
  7. weathafella
    EPS is great!
  8. weathafella
    Crushed. FUK GFS
  9. weathafella
    Looks like euro saved 0Z
  10. weathafella
    I'm not sure. 24 hours on that path may not be terrible. Really it's impossible to really have an idea but that's not a lot of movement in 24 hours to me. Did it go up to the BM and turn further east? Impossible to know.
  11. weathafella
    So those are 24 hours apart 96 to 120? Not helpful
  12. weathafella
    Hopefully an over correction tonight. Euro should help clarify.
  13. weathafella
    GEFS are not much help.
  14. weathafella
    Someone throw up a cmc snow map
  15. weathafella
    I’d lock CMC
  16. weathafella
    Ray deformed on cmc
  17. weathafella
    CMC is a solid crushing
  18. weathafella
    CMC is coming in a lot better
  19. weathafella
    A rather inauspicious start to 0z
  20. weathafella
    Worse.
  21. weathafella
    Quick hitter even for PA/NJ. Fringes sne
  22. weathafella
    Yeah this run will be a few steps down.
  23. weathafella
    I don’t see how Mondays slightly closer pass makes that much difference
  24. weathafella
    Definitely slows things down.
  25. weathafella
    That actually doesn’t make sense. That Monday low was always there but it passes slightly closer now.
×
×
  • Create New...