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weathafella

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Everything posted by weathafella

  1. weathafella
    Yes but the damage is done and we’re already in the goods into cne.
  2. weathafella
    18z NAM looks like a powderkeg
  3. weathafella
    We’re all concentrating on this week but the long range is really looking better and better.
  4. weathafella
    Boxing Day is the first big euro loss in my memory. Gfs had the storm and euro never picked it up until very close in.
  5. weathafella
    I remember Friday night before 2016 with the NAM tugging north and I got pretty smashed. The next day a wind whipped 7 inches. We just missed a biggie but I thought it was fun nonetheless.
  6. weathafella
    We dropped our daughter at ohare the Sunday of thanksgiving weekend. Airport wasn’t too busy amd her plane to BTV was empty
  7. weathafella
    Which one. The old about to be retired about to trend strong at 18z or the new one now known as the para. At least Kevin can stop saying Fv3 at that point...
  8. weathafella
    I thought there was not much change and qpf and snow totals quite similar
  9. weathafella
    Eps is solid!
  10. weathafella
    Yeah Thursday morning may well have people saying wait-isn’t this supposed to miss us south? I believe monads dwelling folks are in that category
  11. weathafella
    Snows all day Thursday
  12. weathafella
    CCB time EMA on euro Thursday morning
  13. weathafella
    We were told that’s the low resolution map. Someone should post more ukmet details
  14. weathafella
    No. But euro/cmc/ukmet are vs GFS.
  15. weathafella
    50/50
  16. weathafella
    No 96 at 1003
  17. weathafella
    Oy vey-I suck
  18. weathafella
    Yes. What is the strength at 120?
  19. weathafella
    I don’t think it is given its progged mslp 24 hours later.
  20. weathafella
    Then again (and this time I’m serious), if it’s bombing in that location wheeeeee!
  21. weathafella
    My only issue with uncle is this: You’re my crazy drunk uncle and you give me 1003? I know you Brits tend to be understated but seriously?
  22. weathafella
    Also, GFS/GEFS are starting to correct back north. Expect 18z to be a lot bigger for SNE.
  23. weathafella
    No need to make changes. Pretty consistent signal for a crusher. GFS is on its own. Euro and cmc have been reasonably consistent. One important caveat-we’re still looking d4. So changes can happen closer in.
  24. weathafella
    Also, as you pointed out, GFS does well in a progressive pattern. However with a system that has blocking, you’d probably lean further away from it. But in the 0Z suite with the GFS being most suppressed one is reminded of countless storms over the years when the model shat in itself. By the way the GFS para which will be gfs soon is way way different at 0z. 12-18+ for SNE and cne.
  25. weathafella
    It was an amplified system. What was wrong were the snow maps and those are vendor driven. I bet if you ran surface and H5 you’d be surprised.
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