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weathafella
weathafella
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Everything posted by weathafella
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Active mid December with multiple event potential
weathafella
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
In what way was gfs better vs euro. And if you tell me one was better at d7 it doesn’t count.
December 13, 2020
6,650 replies
Active mid December with multiple event potential
weathafella
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
Also, regarding 0Z, gfs/GEFS are outliers vs the rest of the guidance. Just including the semi respectable models, cmc, euro vs gfs.
December 13, 2020
6,650 replies
Active mid December with multiple event potential
weathafella
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
When?
December 13, 2020
6,650 replies
Active mid December with multiple event potential
weathafella
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
Large swath of 12+ on the eps.
December 13, 2020
6,650 replies
Active mid December with multiple event potential
weathafella
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
EPS are the 51 member euro ensembles. They tend to outscore the others at least in part to the sheer number of perturbations.
December 13, 2020
6,650 replies
Active mid December with multiple event potential
weathafella
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
EPS is great!
December 13, 2020
6,650 replies
Active mid December with multiple event potential
weathafella
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
Crushed. FUK GFS
December 13, 2020
6,650 replies
3
Active mid December with multiple event potential
weathafella
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
Looks like euro saved 0Z
December 13, 2020
6,650 replies
1
Active mid December with multiple event potential
weathafella
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
I'm not sure. 24 hours on that path may not be terrible. Really it's impossible to really have an idea but that's not a lot of movement in 24 hours to me. Did it go up to the BM and turn further east? Impossible to know.
December 13, 2020
6,650 replies
Active mid December with multiple event potential
weathafella
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
So those are 24 hours apart 96 to 120? Not helpful
December 13, 2020
6,650 replies
Active mid December with multiple event potential
weathafella
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
Hopefully an over correction tonight. Euro should help clarify.
December 13, 2020
6,650 replies
Active mid December with multiple event potential
weathafella
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
GEFS are not much help.
December 13, 2020
6,650 replies
Active mid December with multiple event potential
weathafella
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
Someone throw up a cmc snow map
December 13, 2020
6,650 replies
Active mid December with multiple event potential
weathafella
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
I’d lock CMC
December 13, 2020
6,650 replies
Active mid December with multiple event potential
weathafella
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
Ray deformed on cmc
December 13, 2020
6,650 replies
Active mid December with multiple event potential
weathafella
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
CMC is a solid crushing
December 13, 2020
6,650 replies
Active mid December with multiple event potential
weathafella
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
CMC is coming in a lot better
December 13, 2020
6,650 replies
Active mid December with multiple event potential
weathafella
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
A rather inauspicious start to 0z
December 13, 2020
6,650 replies
Active mid December with multiple event potential
weathafella
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
Worse.
December 13, 2020
6,650 replies
Active mid December with multiple event potential
weathafella
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
Quick hitter even for PA/NJ. Fringes sne
December 13, 2020
6,650 replies
Active mid December with multiple event potential
weathafella
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
Yeah this run will be a few steps down.
December 13, 2020
6,650 replies
Active mid December with multiple event potential
weathafella
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
I don’t see how Mondays slightly closer pass makes that much difference
December 13, 2020
6,650 replies
Active mid December with multiple event potential
weathafella
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
Definitely slows things down.
December 13, 2020
6,650 replies
Active mid December with multiple event potential
weathafella
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
That actually doesn’t make sense. That Monday low was always there but it passes slightly closer now.
December 13, 2020
6,650 replies
Active mid December with multiple event potential
weathafella
replied to
Typhoon Tip
's topic in
New England
You said it’s similar to 2009-10. That block was way stronger. This is a conveniently timed one like many other storms.
December 13, 2020
6,650 replies
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