weathafella
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Everything posted by weathafella
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Still on track for a sizable warmup next week. The only issue is how far above normal. The good news appears to be the relatively short duration of warmth (3-5 days). Also. I’m wary of the cold in eastern Canada either truncating the warmth or poking in some cold in the middle of it.
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I will probably taint for a spell unless the low consolidates more than expected. I have a doctors appointment at 9AM-bad timing unfortunately. My expectation is 2-3 for mby.
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Flakes here now
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Euro today says 1-3/2-4.
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I can understand he frustration with posters behaving like babies but for me I consider that time to move to other endeavors. But it sucks when you are trying for discussion and the usual suspects chime in forget it or everything sucks and I wish we all died….
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The post relaxation period looks like a great pattern and hopefully more durable than the upcoming colder period. MJO suggests it’s possible.
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Everyone prepared for the big warmup for a few days around 1/25 give or take a few days?
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It’s a natural progression from the early/pre winter panic threads.
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People got all giddy from one good model suite maybe 2 days ago. Then the rug got pulled and everyone's in a bad mood again. Keep the snow jones in your back pocket until it has a better chance of reality. Also, while the 16th probability has gone down, it's not dead yet. Same for the 20th.
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Remember the words of Richard Pryor when all the arguments fail….”well fuck it then!”
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BOS is at 4”. 3.8 Sunday and 0.2 in December
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And then there’s the 84 hour NAM….
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I didn’t think that was settled since it only goes to 90 hours. I didn’t think it was a terrible look at hour 90.
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That's a pretty big jump NW on the 12z Euro vs 0z.
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The heavy rain it gives you?
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I think it’s way too premature to toss this. GFS actually brings qpf well west and kind of shows a double barreled strung out structure. Having cmc as the most robust of the 12z suite so far does not give me warm amd fuzzies but even 108+ hours out this system is not at all able to be tossed or accepted.
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Euro still well offshore with minimal impact verbatim. Trying for an inverted trough which could be a sign that we’re heading for a more robust solution in the coming days.
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1/19-20 sne and NNE particularly Maine.
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Big time nuke on 1/19 for BOS
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I like the timing on gfs. My wife’s returning from Chicago after a long time caring for her mom. Gfs says she may get in before the meat of whatever happens comes. Flight due 9pm Tuesday night.
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I think if we take an average of the British today (UKMET-Euro) we’d do fine...lol.
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Tip starts the thread and the euro immediately says “not so fast!”
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I thought we were talking about UKMET. Silly me!
