WEATHER53

I’m not sure how much shoving a 1025 high southern Hudson Bay Area can do. Too weak .

This continues to be the one I initially expressed interest in about 5 days ago its the First snow maker sign for DC-low to south around Atlanta working northeastward with High around nipple of Hudson. That’s just light years better than low into lakes or some type of phasing scenario which usually skips DC. It might get shunted eastward but out to sea is closer to a better scenario for us than into the Lakes/Ohio valley

This is the one I have been liking . Not this model but the overall set up

Maybe evolving from cutter to out to sea to good?

Darn near perfect positioning

Around 8th still looks like a coastal to me and it needs to be. We get another cutter and all 20”+ forecasts for DC area are doomed. It nonsensical to keep in denial and default to “late season is Nino” Most Ninos feature below average temps from mid Dec thru end of Feb. One 10” snowstorm in mid Feb preceded and followed by 50 F does not a good winter make. We may be in a position where decades long prediction factors like Enso and NAO/AO just don’t work. We do see a lot of grasping about SSW and MJO but they are unproven.

BWI over 7” for month . only 1969 and 2009 top that since 1950 over 6 “” in Dec are1973, 1983, 1996 and 2018

And Bang. Epic Lake Effect Chase in Feb

First time I’ve seen something ahead with way low and high are setting up 1/8. Not much else held up so far but that’s a good look I hope happens

Jesus its a month away

As time moves on I wonder more snd more why there is so much worship of examples if weather that are 20-30 degrees differing and 400 miles east or west on the low every 6-12 hours.

Agreed Its bad when they are wrong. It’s Worse to say they weren’t

Well you always chase him away. He likes me just fine, Invite him back and don’t always poke at him .

I’m happy to see something nice and be able to comment accordingly . How is Da**d T. these days?

I knew and said the delays need to stop by 1/10 correctiin to 1/10

This is the look for DC snowstorms. Low might be south but not in OV.

Is your upcoming Mexico due to the fact that you are Still a dazzling urbanite???

We must start getting favorable tracks for low pressures and clippers or other mechanisms of bringing the cold down. Look for that instead of lows in The lakes and Ohio valley . Right now it’s just more of the same of delay and 10 days away until improvement

Get ready to get spanked

So All of your example result in cold and snowy for Mid Atlantic ? I don’t think so

OMG now it’s the 12th

I got rebuked several times in this thread for discrediting a 12/28 12/29 pattern change Going from 55-60 for highs to 45-50 for highs is no change nor beginning of one to winter weather. Lol at your misinformed self

SSW unproven and overrated and essentially unknown. So now we are back to 1/7 or 1/8 and no 12:28&29 and no 1/2&3 . But the 1/7& 8 is DEFINTE this time? Several seasoned posters and some unknowns have been very adamant and quite chastising of us who are referencing the delay of a favorable pattern. 1/7 and 8 is your last shot for anyone to listen anymore . Any chirping about 1/15-1/20 that would begin just shows futility and denial

Last times DCA had 6”+ in Dec was 2009, 1983, 1973, 1969.

I believe that in our righteous efforts to better predict weather, this is another sampling that’s unproven. Hell we are having trouble with long established Enso and Ao/NAO being reliable so the new indexes that seem to pop up every 3/4 years just don’t have enough outcomes yet to be a reliable prediction package