WEATHER53

Back to very light with rate big flake. 3.5” most frequent measure. This has been fun, lot of people out today, cold but not bitter and not wet snow,

6pm Obs 28.7F. Darkest greens Of day over me and solid 0.5”ph rate 3” total that 3 degree drop in one hour is more like what happens post sunset when it’s clear so unless it’s somehow warming up top while getting colder at surface then I dont see much mixing or changing?

Just had a quick 1.3 temp drop and unless that’s from sunset then what attributable to? pretty much 31-32 all day but snow was more like a 28/29 drier consistency do it must still be cold up top

Watch it’s movement next. ene very bad, nne OK. N-nne very good

It’s not that DC climo sucks it’s that Miller Bs don’t do well here. 50% miss us completely, 30% deliver light to near moderate, 20% moderate to heavy The portrayal of the coastal has been all over the place And we still dont know what it’s going to do

4pm update Back from shoveling. Pretty darn brisk. 31F and snow rates 0.25ph to periodic 0.5. 2.75” accumulation.

Time for some sidewalk clearing Gonna leave the cars alone because if we get ice later would rather clear off a crusty 3” snowpack than glare ice or 0.5” glacier

Andy?

Level 1 greenies for DC weenies and level 2 in spots. Daylight dimming and temp down to 31. Would think it’s 0.5”ph now

That steadier band is 3 miles to my south Temp down to 31.2 from high of 31.9 and 2.5” accumulation

Some greenies trying to get here

Midland is where baby Jessica went down the well. I dont know how big Midland Is but I disagree with the need for 3-4 day lead time for preparation. That’s just poor organization . It’s winter, always be at the ready, . We contract for forecasting to several management companies for snow removal in commercial and residential lots. 48 hours in is what we provide . We started updating them Friday 7am. Trying to get them on alert days before that is unproductive. I well may not be able to tell you 5 days in advance what that low in Colorado is going to do to DC but the models cant either other than to show myriads of examples. There is also the “need to know” aspect that far in advance.

Gusty winds to 25 now and switching directions back and forth with blowing snow. Is this indicative of something occurring?

Got 2.3” here just north of DC

Where are you?

1pm obs 31.7F very light snow 2.25” accumulation

Bummer on the personal. Where is home vs now? The book on Miller Bs is mostly don’t work around here. They are 100% forecasted and 25% realized. This is Again where analog experiences will Trump models every time I am realizing now most all posters don’t have 20-50 years of weather observations and recordation so naturally models are the focus. I mean honestly models have shown coastal from 150 miles east of OC moving improbably back west, a 24 hour stall, then tucked around Norfolk and now down along NC/SC coastline. The downright hatred of me because I say these things is hopefully now muted by one of the best longtime posters here returning from a lengthy absence and saying a lot of the same things. i want a big event and good weather experiences at all times but there is more to observations, anticipation, forecasting and reporting during the event than models.

12 noon obs Ver light sniw 30.5F 2.25” on the board

Greens upon DC now.

You get a foot plus and we get half foot plus so everybody happy!

27.5 at 8 and 31 at 11 Kemp Mill 2 miles nne GA Ave and Beltway Gottz tell location

32.4 Does primary look further west than thought?

Looks like center is just south of St Louis currently?

38F Dry. Feels like snow. Thin clouds out to west and it’s helpful when real clouds don’t take over until about 3 hours after sunset.

OMG. First two paragraphs my mantra. You are exactly right. They try to do too much, try to be too detailed and too far in advance. A binocular like approach instead of a microscope is the way to go. Now you are rightly somewhat sainted here so you won’t get lambasted for your comments. And then you delve into the even more verboten references to personal experiences and analogs of many other similar storms! Wonderful post by you.