WEATHER53

Hall of Fame material there

Honestly one part of Snowmaggedon was a long steady 0.5ph and then that spectacular early day blizzard like and then ending. Thought 16 was long duration also. ?

Steady light to moderate 24 hour events seem to be the better ones for us last 15 years than intense quicker hitter

I’m going to stop doing this. I know what I see from models and won’t be told different. Rather right now ride the wave of good potentiality

I just looked at a model pack with 70 differing solutions for DC. From 0 to 15”. That’s A Lot of Examples. How many more would you need to call it “every possible outcome” ??

Yes and ifs are useless but if that low could have moved in Friday at 10am then I think that air mass at that time would have snowed us

15 out of 70 a huge hit for DC. isn’t that higher than usually seen?

We are a right smart candy ass now vs our school years.

In the early 2000’s I was losing power for 24 hours about every other year. Snow or wind did it. About 5 times in a 10 year run. They came through around 2012 and I have not lost power for more than 3 hours and that one a guy flew a plane into wires.

Isabel and the storm thst created OC and this dumb bulb is dismissing as non exceptional and referenced incorrect wind direction

Well at least a lot of Lows are being fired at Our target

Pepco extreme tree trimming did wonders.

This was the depiction for the early Jan event about 4/5?days before we got rain and 50. I hit really excited about an A but turned out further north and west, stronger with excellent cold air scooting out in 24 hours and thus temps over 20 degrees warmer.

Because, they are show every possible outcome I think I’m beginning to understand that models are for fun but not forecasting. This can help alleviate some of my angst and poor interactions at times. When it shows snow and 28 at noon today for Tuesday and then shows rain and 60 at 18z then Neither was a Prediction of an actual high percentage outcome but rather an example of “if a,b,c, d” then such an outcome will follow and 6 hours later show “e,f,g,h” and just keep rotating every 6 hours. im happy to finally get this through my thick head and perhaps I can just sit back and enjoy the myriad of examples that will be forthcoming.

Thanks Does the coonskin cap get wet and stinky in all this rain?

Colder air does appear likely next week so let’s get good things started . at this moment the pattern Has Not changed, everything is 7-10 days away, and the excess rain in Dec with temps 60-65 has merely become excessive rain and highs 50-55 so far in Jan. I hope that pattern changes, it must,

Her synopsis does not match the conditions the bay produces with strong southerly wind direction for 6+ hours. I think this is a top 5 all time tide heightvat Annapolis. That is In Fact, exceptional

Let’s be frank though-the pattern didn’t change and the delays continue. we can still get a biggie orccouple old fashioned 3-5 inches but a persist cold and snowy winter with snow remaining on ground is not in the cards but may yet assert itself upon 2-3 snowing occasions.

What I generally do is add 2-3F for 850s and surface. It will make some rain but that 2-3 gets overcome when set up is solid

Since 1970 years when DCA had 5”+ of rain in Dec, and where Jan is headed the same way , were 1977-78 and 1986-87. 77-78 were like 4.9+ for both months and 86-87 5” Dec and 7” Jan. Analog precedent rainfall pattern gives hope.

That very long southerly fetch produces that but it’s rare

Seems like many places had 3/4 consecutive hours of 40+ gusts topping out at 50

For sure we are having ample low pressures and just gotta get cold that isn’t gone in 25 hours.

Wasn’t this just a snowstorm here?

Persistent 25-30!with gusts to 40.