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WEATHER53

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Everything posted by WEATHER53

  1. We are about to rock with some wild and wooly winter weather. We are cold again tonight , 29 here, and the ground doesn’t have much warmth. So rain to snow of unknown duration and intensity, then quite cold then bitter cold with some more snow action possible and then another. Meanwhile below zero windchills into the afternoon Thursday Yes it’s 4 days in length and not two weeks but not much is two weeks so love the winter weather we do have.
  2. The Mongolian high pressures continue to show up and make their usual move towards us 7-12 days later. The “10 day away” touts having missed out now want to cancel Feb. Feb will be fine and a continuation of what we have had since early November-mostly cutters, infrequent suppressed, infrequent hits, temps not significantly below average but episodic shots of frigid air. Final snowfall right around average and tons better than last two winters.
  3. Deck pic and KA have been excellent with monthly temps and snowfall for months of DEc and Jan. Isotherm good also. Pay attention and learn something
  4. Many of the celebrity weather guys are excellent discussers of weather but poor predictors of it. We tend to be the opposite.
  5. It will be from 4-7 and sun has waned. 11-2 and I would have the same concern
  6. You should transfer your hobby to clinically depressed, negative and wrong and cease cluttering up space here.
  7. Can somebody give me their take on what temp will be at BWI for Tues 6pm, wed 6am, wed 6pm and thurs 6am thanks
  8. Models in winter do only two things well-cutters and cold outbreaks. Any other form of low pressure they are cluless
  9. I started talking about this 1/14 in the closed Jan med /long range thread. That air is still coming and the -42 850s is 1982,85,94 stuff and is following the typical trajectory of nw-se and across the lakes and over us. It does not push far south and then roll over onto us, it’s a direct shot.
  10. These epic cold winter shots have been coming up in convo and analogs since fall. We know it can happen. Nothing like 10 degrees at 1pm on a sunny day or snowy one.
  11. Too many unproven indexes used and offered as the savior or the destructor. After being lambasted about my “10 days away” commentary which I began around Christmas, I have turned out to be exactly right. MJO and SSW and NAO either in tandem or cherry picked are simply unproven as to outcomes for our area.
  12. I believe in the upcoming big cold, 5 degrees colder than what we just had
  13. Just 10 days away is a bad pattern to be in as it just keeps rolling forward to the next 10 days away segment.
  14. Models do not predict weather for 5+ days, they merely give examples of it
  15. No temp rise in last 2 hours, still 18.5 but fun outside in full sun, got a reading of 33 in full sun but wind wiped that out Ineffective Sunshine Advisory in effect!
  16. Huge cold coming end of Jan. Beyond vodka
  17. Came back from Salisbury and bridge was nerve racking. Definitely some over 50 mph gusts up there. Just gusted right now to 44 here. Wind chill is sustained but when a 40/45 mpg two second gust hits you that “wind chill” is real.
  18. Had a wedding at Seneca Lodge tonight for daughters best friend and I’ve been nervous. Last two storms were easy but this was tough and getting down to 20-30 miles so fine line. Told them freezing rain out there would kill people thus cancel but got a break on it.
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