WEATHER53

Easily coldest this time(11pm) for season with 46 at 11pm eclipsing previous 49

Get the drought hypers to contribute

1991 was huge and then it was 92/93 for another then Isabel then 2011 as far as big fetch driven flood events I can remember.

Wow. Some high tides up to 5’ above ground level along western bay areas!

As winter seasons roll on I have become in agreement with something I wasn’t.-“ Don’t waste the cold” DC gets. back to back bellow average months once a year and when that’s DJF it’s gold. Since mid 60s DC gets a big winter about every 5/6 winters and every 6 years the two month cold hits at the right time for us. Mid Oct thru Mid Dec cold is useless. Let Pac roar now and not later

Two 38 mph gusts in last 10 minutes

Steady moderate to heavy rain for 3 hours. 1.32”

48 at midnight which is coldest at time for season

Blew thru here at 2:10 , 35mph gust, 2 minute deluge, 0.12” total, 10 degree temp drop

Rotating east to west rains look to be closer to DC than forecasted yesterday

DCA: 11/13 IAD: 10/17 BWI:11/12 RIC: 11/13 Bwi:0.79”

Got a lot of play as a rogue bolt.

My Winter Outlook for DC area 2021-22 Temps:-0.5 to -2.5. Snowfall:12-15” i don’t have a monthly order because too much conflict. Analog years 1979-80, 1992-93, 2010-11 interesting to note 1979 had a record setting snow around 10/10 so let’s see if we get a cold precip event. 1993 had probably the biggest weather event ever around here March 1993. We dont give the credit for huge single events like that but do apply 5” credit We deemphasize ENSO as it’s erratic and it always come down to the cold air source for DC. We mostly take occurrent events from March into Sept and look for matching patterns or events and forecast forward. I remember about 3/4 years ago Isotherm and me both predicted a -5 February and it hit and although I don’t say Feb I do think we have one -4/-5 month. Thats it and let us know what your outlook is.

Getting gusty up to 30

3 main analogs are good but not great. We continue to deemphasize ENSO analoging and increase a little blocking/cold air source

Winter looking decent

Power back on so good job Pepco!

Explosion up the street and power out here but not street behind . Pole transformer ?

How deep is the water there?

Will issue outlook as usual on equinox. Got it done and just waiting.

It’s the Greatest failure of the internet. Instead of increasing the opportunity for greater information exchange it spawns trolls who contribute zero but get their loser shits and giggles from interrupting serious and solid exchanges of truly valuable info.

Annapolis/Edgewater rated yet?

Camille had the infamous Hurricane Party at an inland hotel that ended up not far enough inland

We were about 3-5 miles southeast of the Frederick flooding. Gullies that look dry became torrents .

Feels like fall out there at 64 after tropical low 80’s. In a way this was a “fall” front so did that help escalate things today? Not be be able old pops dude but you teens and 20’s will remember this for a lifetime. Hazel and Sandy and Isabel and half dozen others are easy memories but Ida will stick also. Crazy early morning deluge, calms down, goes world class nuts in the afternoon, rips up Edgewater and Annapolis. Who knows what very localized max winds they may asses?? Plus it’s up in NJ/NY raising hell right now! I love benchmarks and for a remnant tropical event this is easy top 5 for me. Not really all if this one in my backyard but close enough