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FlatLander48

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Everything posted by FlatLander48

  1. On this run, the NC coast still gets obliterated with rain and surge, and since the Storm moves SW, it goes over hot gulf stream waters and re intensifies quickly. Take verbatim, it's an awful run.
  2. 120. makes a 45 degree turn straight to the heart of Charleston.
  3. Hour 108...Headed to Georgia...maybe even southern Georgia.
  4. Maybe premature. but GFS through 96 is what could be considered the worst scenario, a long stall just off the coast, then a small trek SW over new warm Gulf stream waters before making landfall.(If it does?)
  5. Hour 90, still has not made official landfall. Looks to be moving SSW from 84 to 90.
  6. 12z GFS hour 6 has a pressure at 961 when it is already in the 940's. 12z Icon at the beginning of the run is in the 970's. seems that NO model is handling the rapid strengthening of the storm anywhere near accurately. Gonna shock me if it doesn't hit cat 5 by this evening.
  7. So , not gonna post pictures since it's still loading. but 18z GFS is pushing a Harvey scenario with an almost stall on the obx.
  8. Here's my turn to vent. If I go to Florida on March 3rd and have to live in 40's and 50's on my spring break I'm never rooting for winter again. Ever.
  9. i'm just glad I'm not having to worry about it in the mountains. though I'm probably gonna chase this one if it does venture a bit more west.
  10. ...why Am I even looking at the models, I could be doing healthier things, like drinking.
  11. I Have decided to listen to the song "Dig Down" by muse while watching the model runs. I think you can guess why.
  12. Went ahead and made travel plans for New Years, just so I have something to look forward to when we lose that storm too.
  13. This is pathetic, but still not as bad as knowing all my Christmas money is going straight to a new muffler for my car. Actually no, this is worse.
  14. My boss is a packers fan who was at the elimination game...work wasn't pleasant this week.
  15. Just hope my saints get to play them in round one so we can beat them for the third time this season
  16. At hour 60 on the 12z, you are exactly correct. Low is a bit west, but not by much.
  17. The thing to pay attention to as others have mentioned is if the GLL interacts more on other models as opposed to the NAM, that's one of the biggest factors right now. Trend is our favor right now, but that can easily change.
  18. +1 for the ICON. Consistently showed a stronger s/w compared to the other models.
  19. Precip max on that map is from Charlotte to the eastern foothills...not the mountains.
  20. Here comes the 0z GFS...prepare the bottom of the cliff just in case for some people lol.
  21. Have we hit the models losing the storm period yet?
  22. Anything past 48 hours you take with a grain of salt...But that shear has me worried, it tore the s/w apart.
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