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FlatLander48

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Everything posted by FlatLander48

  1. FlatLander48
    It's at 1041 at hour 75 on the 12z Nam, no worries yet.
  2. FlatLander48
    Precip appears much farther south on 0z compared to 18z NAM, through 69 at least.
  3. FlatLander48
    Tied for strongest, 18z had it at 1040 as well.
  4. FlatLander48
    Just remember, people down here become idiotic really quick when it snows compared to up there lol.
  5. FlatLander48
    The one thing you can argue is the High itself is rather weak. Although it can change, if if was up into the 1040's or so, there would be a noticeable difference.
  6. FlatLander48
    That's a good comparison based on current runs, the only thing that stands out differently about this one as of now is the potential for a good 2nd thump behind the storm.
  7. FlatLander48
    Think before you speak, most if not all models this morning are trending better for many across the board, and the ensemble members are amazing for most.
  8. FlatLander48
    Yea, if the Sanitarium was going to be busy before, it's going to be a mad house in here now.
  9. FlatLander48
    Do we even use the NAVGEM anymore? Anyways, we are now getting closer to it's use, and at hr 144 it has the low substantially farther west than the GFS and Euro. The Euro is a tad closer.
  10. FlatLander48
    Based on surface maps on the 0z GFS, the only difference is that the HP is slightly SW compared to 18z. the LP placement appears on 0z sunday on the 9th the exact same as the 18z.
  11. FlatLander48
    I did as soon as I posted my last thought. Guess It's over for me now.
  12. FlatLander48
    Absolutely glorious.
  13. FlatLander48
    If I see another person use the word "trend" after one model run, I'm going to croak.
  14. FlatLander48
    Already bought an extra large tub of popcorn. This week is going to be fun. In more ways than one lol
  15. FlatLander48
    Let's also remember a warmer miller B transition is still possible, and could very easily happen.
  16. FlatLander48
    On this run, the NC coast still gets obliterated with rain and surge, and since the Storm moves SW, it goes over hot gulf stream waters and re intensifies quickly. Take verbatim, it's an awful run.
  17. FlatLander48
    120. makes a 45 degree turn straight to the heart of Charleston.
  18. FlatLander48
    Hour 108...Headed to Georgia...maybe even southern Georgia.
  19. FlatLander48
    Maybe premature. but GFS through 96 is what could be considered the worst scenario, a long stall just off the coast, then a small trek SW over new warm Gulf stream waters before making landfall.(If it does?)
  20. FlatLander48
    Hour 90, still has not made official landfall. Looks to be moving SSW from 84 to 90.
  21. FlatLander48
    12z GFS hour 6 has a pressure at 961 when it is already in the 940's. 12z Icon at the beginning of the run is in the 970's. seems that NO model is handling the rapid strengthening of the storm anywhere near accurately. Gonna shock me if it doesn't hit cat 5 by this evening.
  22. FlatLander48
    So , not gonna post pictures since it's still loading. but 18z GFS is pushing a Harvey scenario with an almost stall on the obx.
  23. FlatLander48
    Here's my turn to vent. If I go to Florida on March 3rd and have to live in 40's and 50's on my spring break I'm never rooting for winter again. Ever.
  24. FlatLander48
    i'm just glad I'm not having to worry about it in the mountains. though I'm probably gonna chase this one if it does venture a bit more west.
  25. FlatLander48
    ...why Am I even looking at the models, I could be doing healthier things, like drinking.
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