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FlatLander48

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Everything posted by FlatLander48

  1. FlatLander48
    Especially with the way the Nam has it's biases even at close range that we've known for years. I don't trust it right now.
  2. FlatLander48
    Not that it's wrong, but the Nam has a HEAVY bias of over amplifying systems, which considering the factors at play, would be the reason it shows this snowy solution. Until other models fully agree with the NAM, or show a similar solution...Take that with a giant bag of salt.
  3. FlatLander48
    Nam is meh for this weekend. Everything else is rain.
  4. FlatLander48
    The GFS and Nam both say the usual 36 degree rain this weekend. Unless 0z ukie and euro say otherwise, this will be just another cold rain as we get closer to spring.
  5. FlatLander48
    sortof yes. the storm mentioned still is way too far to the east and we actually don't get a drop of precip from it I don't believe unless I missed a frame. But the LP center did come west quite a good margin on this run, which is helping to funnel winds in from the NW and with whatever moisture is left is sparking some NWFS is the wake of the storm. Still a mile to go, but that is progress.
  6. FlatLander48
    Verbatim, it's dry compared to other models, but temp profiles look better at the surface compared to the GFS/Icon, and CMC to an extent.
  7. FlatLander48
    CMC also brings down another bowling ball ULL like we saw earlier this season.
  8. FlatLander48
    CMC with a better look overall than the Icon/GFS.
  9. FlatLander48
    0z Ukie has this to show at hour 96 as the storm is happening for us. Literally no cold air anywhere near.
  10. FlatLander48
    gut feeling based on what I'm seeing. Need what appears to be two pieces of energy in the gulf to combine and rapidly intensify and have the system "produce its own cold air". GFS is yet again too warm as it's passing by, and we don't have another cold source to tap. Freezing temperatures aren't even found until you go halfway into West Virginia. That's not gonna do it.
  11. FlatLander48
    the fact that it's not snowing. and the time of year, considering prime climo is..well...now. granted like Mack has been mentioning, February 7th is trying to spoil that. But besides that it hasn't even been close to snow in these areas so far.
  12. FlatLander48
    Well...it's somewhat closer than a few runs ago lol. Baby steps? Don't we always want the NW trend haha
  13. FlatLander48
    Dont look now but the GFS was nice for this weekend. And potentially almost all snow for our forum.
  14. FlatLander48
    Well Ray isnt that good of a forecaster. I would say based on current models that it should be snow above 4k and worth the trip. But who knows the way models have been going the past 48 hours honestly.
  15. FlatLander48
    Shocker: boone gets blanked. On to the next one.
  16. FlatLander48
    Because that would be the biggest snow in Boone this season so I dont believe it yet lol. That and while everyone else has had snow this evening, we've barely gotten a couple of flurries.
  17. FlatLander48
    Wednesday on the GFS took a nice little jog NW.
  18. FlatLander48
    I'd say that's showing a little 2-3 inches for the northern mountains and 4-5 inches for the southern mountains, assuming all snow. Would be the biggest event so far I think technically lol
  19. FlatLander48
    Robert made a post similar to your first sentence and he's a tad bit excited about it.
  20. FlatLander48
    Robert is a little hyped for our midweek system. Always a good sign.
  21. FlatLander48
    And confirmed his 13 YO daughter was on board too with another parent and player
  22. FlatLander48
    LR since it's the Nam, but it looks good for next Thursday.
  23. FlatLander48
    RIP Kobe
  24. FlatLander48
    idk if I looked at it wrong on my phone, but next weekends storm is actually nice for the northern mountains on the GFS now that I can look at it on my work desktop. And CMC. Euro is a clean miss way to the south lol.
  25. FlatLander48
    With the 12z runs coming in, I'm about ready to give up until next year. Just no cold to work with when we need it.
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