Latest HRRR has the strip from Avery through Ashe at 4-5 inches. Based on radar, I do not buy that at all.
I will add that it has finally started flurrying.
Well this thread was a lot easier to read compared to the main thread after a couple of hours away. Dont like what I'm seeing. But im done looking at models for this one.
Yea, I took it back simply because I'm in the blacksburg district and they're trigger happy for those warnings compared to some lol. Figured I would let someone else answer it from the area.
Well...through hour 18 lol... the GFS comparative to the 6z run is slightly north. Mostly noise not worth looking at...but since that's all we have for now...
*looking at the 500mb height anomaly, not precip maps.
I'm gonna take my 2 inches and call it a day. I honestly dont believe the northern mountains outside of the western slopes will do much better than that