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FlatLander48

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Everything posted by FlatLander48

  1. FlatLander48
    SREF plumes adjusted as well. Average of around 3 inches in Boone, and a few members (not just one like earlier) are showing 8-10, so could continue to go up possibly.
  2. FlatLander48
    Not that I really believe it's an implication of anything, more of just a note I'm making: If you look at hour one of the NAM and compare it to current radar for say Texas, since that's where part A of our storm will get going, there's a considerable amount more moisture around than even the NAM is showing. Again, just a note.
  3. FlatLander48
    Considering the thing starts tomorrow, theres still a lot of variance in plumes for Boone. Average is just over 2 inches. Theres 3 members in the 7 inch range, and a bunch just scattered all over the place.
  4. FlatLander48
    Just in time for my vacation flight out of Asheville... lol
  5. FlatLander48
    Latest round of plumes for Boone average just under 2 inches if you take out the one outlier at 10 inches. I'll take it I guess.
  6. FlatLander48
    German I think. But yes lol
  7. FlatLander48
    They just salty they don't get to share the delight of tracking this one with us
  8. FlatLander48
    To be somewhat fair, the ICON has had it's glory moments over the past few seasons that it's been publicly available, not saying it's onto something by any means.
  9. FlatLander48
    Sun angle usually doesn't get mentioned here til the day before. Usually snow modeled 24+ hours away generally turns to rain before we have a chance to talk about it.
  10. FlatLander48
    To the south of where I'm at sure. We have yet to hit 3 inches in Boone for the entire winter.
  11. FlatLander48
    I need about 200 more miles apparently. Will that work for ya? If not we can negotiate lol
  12. FlatLander48
    Am I mistaken thinking that DT or wxrisk used to be on here?
  13. FlatLander48
    Gonna whisper in here as to not disturb the main thread.... I STILL want this thing to come way north lol
  14. FlatLander48
    Well, it does look like the NW mountains are still the weak spot for this storm for our area. Still wouldnt mind a couple more jogs to the NW
  15. FlatLander48
    Yes, globals are always important, especially now, as there are still not enough short term modeling to go by at this range.
  16. FlatLander48
    For funsies: talk about a freaking nice storm for us.
  17. FlatLander48
    Really wish we could get the storm to rake up the coast instead of heading almost due east, would help our totals a lot, but I'll take it. Though at this point, the coast stands to see more snow in 24 hours than Boone has all winter, with this storm included lol
  18. FlatLander48
    Hour 48, 50-75 mile push north compared to 6z. Also showing a tendency at the same time frame over the last couple of runs (still at 48) of the storm appearing stronger each run. at least in terms of precip rates.
  19. FlatLander48
    GFS at Hour 42, I believe that the trajectory looks the tiniest bit more of a SW/NW flow, believe it will come north a tad, though nothings stands out really compared to the 6z.
  20. FlatLander48
    Yea, if anything it looked a little more suppressed than the 6z, thought not by much. It is at the end of it's range at that point, but worth keeping an eye on.
  21. FlatLander48
    Man...if yall thought living and dying by each model run was bad before, today is gonna be popcorn worthy.
  22. FlatLander48
    Even though the end of the range isn't really close enough to point out storm details for us, the RGEM is another tool starting to come into play to see how far north the precip will be before it gets here. The 6z was considerably further south and flatter compared to the 12z Nam, would like to see it correct towards the NAM on this run as it's coming in.
  23. FlatLander48
    Good run for all the mountains. Believe that was the best run from any model for what we want. minus the bit of mix at onset of course.
  24. FlatLander48
    Isnt the saying that dont worry about precip, instead worry about what the upper levels say until about 48 hours out? Or is that applied only when every model shows a lot of snow.
  25. FlatLander48
    That's a considerable difference. Preferably would be nice to see the LP form a bit closer to the coast. But baby steps at this time.
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