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Ajb

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Everything posted by Ajb

  1. I mean no doubt the odds are low, but 64 (or however many the Euro has) ensemble members hardly probe the entire space of perturbations. I wouldn’t call it a complete model failure if we get some flakes.
  2. WSSC advisory: https://www.wsscwater.com/news/2026/january/urgent-essential-water-use-only-request-issued-all-wssc-water-customers-due Still haven’t been plowed. This is going well.
  3. Apple weather already showing 9”-11” for Saturday and another 2”-4” on Sunday.
  4. Sleet downpour. Sleet avalanches off the roof.
  5. 5” on the ground, er, deck. Very sleety, near DTSS.
  6. Are there still reduced weather balloons due to NWS cutbacks?
  7. I'd say about 1.5" here in 20910; still snowing.
  8. Sun is up, car and deck are covered. Steady light snow.
  9. "The version of the AIFS available at the time of writing is trained on a subset of the ERA5 reanalysis for 1979–2018 and fine-tuned on operational IFS data from 2019 to 2020. Pressure level fields and surface fields are used for training, together with forcing data, like time of the year and insolation." https://www.ecmwf.int/en/newsletter/178/news/aifs-new-ecmwf-forecasting-system
  10. Just measured 3” near DTSS.
  11. This band (near DTSS) is impressive.
  12. 4.5” near DTSS. Still snowing.
  13. Sticking to the grass near DTSS.
  14. Probably about 4” near DTSS. Still snowing steadily, but not quite as hard as between 10-11:30.
  15. Weather plays a major role in electricity consumption, so maybe that was taken from a write-up aimed at the electricity industry.
  16. For people really interested in the science of that which shall not be named, I really encourage you to look at the IPCC working group 1 report. https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/ There's a ton of information there, with links to the original papers, and it should be able to answer all of your questions.
  17. Don’t forget the sulfate aerosols.
  18. Without commenting on the video specifically, maybe some rando on YouTube isn't the best place to get your news and analysis?
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