lee59
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Everything posted by lee59
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With such short distances between areas that get crushed and those that lose out, it should be an interesting storm to watch unfold. There may be a lot of disappointed people and or a lot of very happy people.
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At this point in my area, I am expecting a good front end thumping and then a mix or change to sleet, drizzle, freezing rain and so on. Probably 6-10 inches.
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Getting a little concerned about the rain/snow line in coastal areas.
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Yea the strong high to the north should help create good gradient winds.
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Ok. I'm just thinking a good Nor'easter has a barometric pressure dropping through the 990s to the 980s.
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One thing that has me wondering, if this is a good nor'easter. Why do some models have the storm weakening as it moves off the coast.
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I wouldn't really call it a bust because the high snow totals were some 4-5 days out. If you get your hopes to high that far out, you will bust a lot. Even now there is still so much time to do most anything. We still have a good storm to track and the uncertainty is what makes it so interesting.
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I think some front end decent snow totals are likely even with a change to rain at the coast.
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I agree. There is no doubt the models have been looking good and it is fine to make predictions on sites like this but a little early when talking to hundreds of thousands or millions of people. After all a 50 mile move north or south with the storm can make a huge difference and were still some 4 or 5 days out.
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Channel 4 NBC really going out on a limb. Already mentioning a foot of snow for city and surrounding area.
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I would say one concern is that the high weakens some or moves further east, allowing the low to be more Northwest. Gfs latest run seems to be a little to far northwest for a big coastal snow. Wouldn't take much to change that.
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I also like to hear your thoughts, knowledgeable and keeping things in perspective.
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I'm just happy there is something ligit to track. To early to say for sure, who gets what.
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December 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
lee59 replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
Caribou has a very long winter. To long for me. We were so over due for snow less seasons like the last 2. NYC Central Park actually averaged some 5-6 inches more snow the last 30 year climate period (1990-2020) as compared to the previous period of 1960-1990. The slightly milder temperatures seem to have given our area more precipitation and in the winter that can mean more snow. -
Maybe the mild night time temperatures this summer made the mosquito problem worse.
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Yea, and I am some 8 miles from the ocean and we have plenty of burned foliage.
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It has been so cold up north this winter, the Bering Sea ice extent is actually within the normal range of the 1981-2010 median.
