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Carvers Gap

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Everything posted by Carvers Gap

  1. Carvers Gap
    Those are the lows that I wasn't sure I would see again in my lifetime. We are about to find out if the atmosphere still has that type of extreme in it. I kind of hope not. But OTH, it would be amazing to see. I guess I don't have a choice either way!
  2. Carvers Gap
    I "think" that is snow on the ground after the anafront. I think that is our best path to snow. With ratios in that cold, we could see 4-8" of snow easy.
  3. Carvers Gap
    Man, has it been windy here today. Probably one of the only times I had to be really careful to be ready to handle a wind gust against our vehicle while on the interstate.
  4. Carvers Gap
    @Greyhound, we need an update on the metal snowman.
  5. Carvers Gap
    That is just mind boggling. Got the entire hemisphere, and the PV found our zipcode on that run. Those analogs above might be right.
  6. Carvers Gap
    Who was it that owned the metal snowman?
  7. Carvers Gap
    Feels kind of toasty at just -31 at TRI. I am getting DMs from people in Florida who have found a missing elk, and would like to return it.
  8. Carvers Gap
    All time record lows within reach on that run. That is a textbook example of why modeling is a mess today. Modeling just isn't built to handle cold like that at this latitude.
  9. Carvers Gap
  10. Carvers Gap
    Man, 258 on the GFS....chasing some all-time record lows.
  11. Carvers Gap
    If we get cold like the GFS is depicting on the 10th, and anafront is very plausible.
  12. Carvers Gap
    Congratulations, Orlando?
  13. Carvers Gap
    @Daniel Boone, the NYE analog package...Those are frigid. 19850119 19800122 19550125 20001228 20070125 19770120 19761229 19691231 19561230 19850124
  14. Carvers Gap
    ZR in TN is generally realized with a hp just west of the Apps which funnels cold down on this side. That 1040 high riding over the top is a big problem. That said, the GFS puts ice where a warm nose should be. However, if this arrives at night or first thing in the morning I have seen evaporational cooling creat cold temps at the surface, and then lock it in.
  15. Carvers Gap
    If the Euro is right about precipitation amounts and the GFS/CMC are right about the temps, we have a big problem. We do not want heavy rain hitting the surface which is below freezing. It certainly looks like somebody in KY and/or TN is going to deal with this potential.
  16. Carvers Gap
    Looks remarkably similar to the CMC...whoever said that - I agree.
  17. Carvers Gap
    That is just a nasty, nasty run by the 18z GFS.
  18. Carvers Gap
    The GFS really doesn't like modern electricity - ice.
  19. Carvers Gap
    Is this continuity from the 18z GFS?
  20. Carvers Gap
    The 18z GFS has a small trailing vortex on this run which wasn't there before. Hey, let's just do it different every, single time.
  21. Carvers Gap
    Bout like the NCAA selection committee giving Boise State to PSU for a second round game AFTER giving them SMU for a first round game. Just makes no sense whatsoever. At least I can watch football tomorrow and not have to suffer through watching the Jan 6 low cut all day on modeling!
  22. Carvers Gap
    I was really hoping the 18z GFS would go to Baja like the ICON, and make all of us rethink what we know about weather.
  23. Carvers Gap
    18z GFS looks like it is going to cut....little more separation between it and the system in front. That allows the ridge to pop just a hair more. Let's see....just an educated guess as to how it is coming onto the West Coast.
  24. Carvers Gap
    That model passed out about half way through Happy Hour. LOL.
  25. Carvers Gap
    The Euro Weeklies control and ensemble maps will make everyone happy.
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