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87storms

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Everything posted by 87storms

  1. 87storms
    Well, I didn’t say I liked it lol. But it seems workable for a light event. That’s my expectation for this one.
  2. 87storms
    I don’t dislike this run so far.
  3. 87storms
    Empirical analysis incoming (and just an opinion), but we’re typically not good at big snow on the front end of a cold snap bc the systems are usually NS dominant. We are, however, good at seeing flakes fly when we get an arctic front followed by a trackable system. If it’s just a quick hitting cold snap, that’s different, but this seems like (at minimum) a temporary pattern change.
  4. 87storms
    I think that Tuesday situation ends up a minor event (trough is too positive/progressive) with a follow-up wave to track by the end of the week. That’s my hunch. Wintry week incoming.
  5. 87storms
    Seems like Philly and nyc are in similar streaks.
  6. 87storms
    You can see how the trough is closer to 0z than 18z via the 250mb chart…too progressive, I guess.
  7. 87storms
    We seem to be on a precip heater...that's the main reason I'm bullish. I noticed last night there was a flood warning along the Monacacy, which isn't surprising because creeks around Gambrill have been flowing nicely since the last gully washer. I'm actually right next to an extension of Carroll Creek and even that's flowing again.
  8. 87storms
    I just remember being in awe at the size of the flakes through my window at night. I probably snuck downstairs to turn on our patio light about 10x lol. It was basically a long duration snow squall. I also think we were out of school for at least part of that week due to power outages.
  9. 87storms
    I've already accepted the fact that it's gonna snow next week.
  10. 87storms
    In hindsight, that was a helluva snow year lol...though Feb 87 is what my UN is named after. I remember that storm like it was yesterday. Just an outstanding, fluke snow blitz.
  11. 87storms
    We're pretty good at light precip events showing up within a few days. It happens with rain, but we just care more when it's snow lol. As long as there's sustained cold, the chances are up that we'll get something out of it. The issue is that we haven't really had sustained cold...so that's why I'm more interested in tracking that.
  12. 87storms
    I'm also not convinced the cold will blast through as depicted especially with the milder water temps. I could picture this turning into a wavy front kind of situation as it nears the coast.
  13. 87storms
    I haven't seen the scores, but I think the GFS has been generally good the last couple years. It hasn't really showed much in the way of any digital blue...which would be accurate. I actually use the GFS now up until within 24 hrs. Whether that's the correct way or not, I don't know, but I've seen the NAM miss enough times close to gametime that I find it more useful for showing potential convection than a broad brush of temps/precip.
  14. 87storms
    My mom said it snowed in Henderson, NV last night. Confirmed via pics. Looks like an inch or so. The cold is heading our way.
  15. 87storms
    I’m in.
  16. 87storms
    Yea, when looking at the 250mb chart it had a NS dominant vibe...almost looks like a miller b/hybrid type of setup. There's still a southern stream, but the trough is a little further east than I'd like. Still looks like the gulf is open for business, so maybe a minor event is still on the table.
  17. 87storms
    I've always been a hiphop head, but would also listen to alternative. Tool is one of those groups that I could vibe with and their music videos were wild.
  18. 87storms
    Yea, they actually mentioned the gravity waves in the LWX disco. I think what happens is we have leftover moisture from these storm systems and the combo of cooler air swinging through the next day and orographic lift causes these types of clouds. I haven't looked up the exact reasons, but it happens a lot in these setups.
  19. 87storms
    The wave cloud action is interesting, though... https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G16&sector=ne&band=02&length=12
  20. 87storms
    Clouds following a storm might be the most predictable weather to forecast around here, at least in the cooler months. The day will start out with a period of sun and then the trough moves east and you end up with a stratocumulus cloud deck…or something like that.
  21. 87storms
    We're a professional precipitation town...all we need is cold. I'm looking forward to next week's snow event.
  22. 87storms
    We didn’t have any big snows outside of Snowzilla in ‘16, but I do have a couple inches in my records from Feb 15 (looks like it stuck to all surfaces) and several snow showers/icing events. I was living in Bethesda at the time, so there might have been more further nw.
  23. 87storms
    I’m about ready to drive to Deep Creek to see 5 lol.
  24. 87storms
    The wind has generally been a bust here. Have had some breezy showers the last hour or so, but nothing to write home about. Maybe the winds pick up later.
  25. 87storms
    The wind has arrived.
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