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87storms

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Everything posted by 87storms

  1. He’s not wrong though lol. At this point I might be able to run errands on Sunday while oc gets a blizzard.
  2. There’s consensus for a coastal but the difference is the gfs wants the impacts to be on land which makes it seem like it’s a lot more different than it is lol
  3. Still a healthy vort pass, just convoluted like millerwx alluded to.
  4. I’m not sure how much ai would help short term forecasts. Seems like ai has more potential to handle long term chaos. Also, the term ai is so bloated. It’s basically just machine learning that we now have enough computing power to handle big data. When I think of ai I think of robots, not weather models lol.
  5. It was awesome. I stayed up to watch it…it came in like a wall right off the Atlantic. The models were on vacation.
  6. You must not have been here for that one lol. Light snow was predicted at the 5pm newscasts. 6-10” was on the ground by the morning.
  7. Think I’m gonna end up with over 0.5” today. Gonna put a little dent on the remaining snow mounds.
  8. The whole setup is pretty weird. Must be a traffic jam forming with all those vorts flying around. One of them is even moving nnw from Wisconsin to Canada lol.
  9. Yea, this run was a half step towards other guidance. Let’s face it, the euro model suite is all that matters at this range. Need that to shift west very soon.
  10. Seems like every model wants to pop a legit coastal. The problem is gfs is like 150 miles west of the consensus.
  11. Temps have been busting low it seems all week.
  12. It’s too late in the season for wimpy snowstorms. Mecs or above is the only option.
  13. This is gonna be a good system to gauge whether the gfs is on some bs or onto something.
  14. I could see us getting snow from the upper level low setup, but the coastal may cause some aches and pains, even more so than the 4v4 hoops seshes I’ve been playing lately.
  15. Dc getting more snow than Frederick makes this even more believable. I’m in.
  16. Joining an indoor gym this winter (for basketball) is turning into a forward thinking decision.
  17. In a zonal flow, yes. I miss the days when we’d get an easy west to east system that redeveloped over the TN Valley.
  18. I wouldn’t go that far lol, but it has improved. I can recall numerous winter storm watches and warnings growing up that ended up being a bust for a variety of reasons (downsloping, temps, etc.). Models didn’t seem to handle the impacts of terrain very well.
  19. I’m starting to crave another Feb 87. That storm had elite, top tier rates that overcame a mild day leading into it. 1-3” was forecasted and we ended up with a foot.
  20. March is gonna be epic… Match Madness, that is.
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