87storms
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Everything posted by 87storms
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Yea, I saw that part and got hyped lol, but I was mostly looking at the precip amounts and Euro still seemed farther south with the 0.5" line than the GFS/Nam. Agree with the rest.
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I think overall the Euro took charge (as it typically does). Need to see how round 2 performs, but the American models were kind of on an island with giving my location upwards of 0.5”+ liquid equivalent whereas most of the other models were struggling to budge north. Consensus seems to have won so far.
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Tbh, sleet might be underrated.
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Colorado?
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https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?parms=PBZ-N0Q-1-24-100-usa-rad
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I feel confident that we'll get another 2-3" from round two. That part is gonna swing through on a near perfect track. Still a big chunk of the system left: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/conus_band.php?sat=G16&band=08&length=12
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HRRR is fed in part by radar trends. Watch it start to look better once the remaining energy enters the region.
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Just took a 30 min loop thru the hood. 3” on the dot in multiple spots. Light snow with occasional dendrites throughout the journey. No sleet. Very wintry…like a winter version of those Atlantic misty days we get. Waiting on round two now.
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In ull's we trust. It's gonna backfill. Does this almost every storm and used to make me punt too early when I first started this hobby...being next to an ocean has its perks.
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I really don't dislike my location for part 2. Us i70 folks may not want to punt yet.
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Yea, every model I've had time to look at so far this morning shows a 2-10pm window this afternoon for some resurgence of lift from the ULL for the majority of Central MD. I'm all in on that part. Daytime snow > nighttime snow.
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I didn’t get snookered by the models this time. They were all clearly pointing towards a dc/south win, but it does look cool outside. Excited for my stroll around the hood.
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Slept more than I expected last night…primarily bc the flakes were so small I couldn’t really see them in the lights. I’m blessed with having to attend a 845am daily call, so I’ll either go out before or after to investigate and measure what the damage is.
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Got 2 hrs of zzzz give or take. Just peeked out the window…the white ground has confirmed my suspicion that snow made it to FDK.
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Trammell Starks is legit.
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Yea that event will forever be epic (had several inches, maybe upwards of 5”), but was actually a prolific snow bust for dc and I think most locales to the northeast too. Feb 94…a low formed along a stalled out boundary in the Deep South. Huge moisture return, but too much of a good thing.
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Ball is life
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Got my final outdoor hoops shoot-around in (cold, but doable) before sunset before the courts close for the foreseeable future. Very light wind...definitely had a "calm before the storm" vibe.
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I've been mostly mia this afternoon, but just peaked at the HRRR and Nam...and I'm definitely a little more enthusiastic for mby than I was earlier. That's pretty healthy vort pass.
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Latest Nam is a work of art.
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That ended up being a great event where I lived. I remember hiking through Cabin John and it was just absolutely ripping outside when the ull moved through.
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I’ve been diligently tracking the Coriolis index the last few days.
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Only issue is that was 15 years ago and models have certainly improved since, but I hope you’re right.
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Models have shown their hand. Secs to the north, mecs to the south. There’s gonna be little pockets of surprises as always, but the precip jack has been generally closer to dc and south for several days now. It’s nowcast time.
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Surface obs: https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/html/sfcloop/currobs.html
