87storms

there's just nothing keeping the cold air locked in...it seems to either get run out of town or trails a rainer. need a perfectly timed setup with cold being so transient.

the trough couldn't be more positive. where's the se ridge when we need it. maybe it nudges a little north towards gametime, but it'll need to nudge quite a bit.

true, and i know he wanted revenge from the lavine contest, which was also pretty epic (though that might have been more 50/50). even though he may not have completely cleared Fall, he showed ridiculous bunnies. i don't see how any judge could score that a 9. not only does it take guts to attempt that, but he got it on the first try.

in other news...aaron gordon should have won the dunk contest. that said, i think he takes the contest a bit too seriously. i could tell by his mannerisms and how he was constantly trying to sell the crowd reaction and judges after just about every dunk. still should have won, though...dude jumped over a 7'5" center. i mean, come on lol.

i don't understand the complaints towards long range model analysis. at the very least, even if a model run is bogus (missing data, etc.), it still offers up the opportunity to practice pattern analysis. not saying that i know much because i don't (4400 posts of mostly play by play and banter), but it's part of the hobby to analyze the different models and teleconnections, and i appreciate those that take a few minutes out of the day to provide their 2 cents on the pattern.

factual outcomes takes zero skill. it's a weather board. forecasts are made. forecasts fail. you, like everyone else, relies on computer models to an extent, and your theory that models haven't improved was already debunked by meteorologists who do this for a living.

new england makes sense. for what you lack in warmer weather, you make up for it with legit winters (usually). not sure if i'd like the extended cold season, though. seems like it can be chilly/gray through april there whereas by mid march i'm usually ready for spring.

we're not the upper midwest or new england. anyone who loves the snow that much is in the wrong spot, period. i don't like the cold enough to sacrifice milder weather for snow. colorado is a near sweet spot, but i love true seasons and lush green. re 17/18 winter...it was a bit subpar around the city imo. we had a storm in march that padded what would have otherwise been lame results. it wouldn't surprise me one iota if northern md faired better. i think what we need is a solid wall to wall winter like 13-15. those were premier winters...top shelf for this area. doesn't have to snow all the way through, but it's been a minute since winter felt like winter for 3 solid months. edit: meant to say 17/18

just saw another post by lwx today that says since 1931/32, every single winter has had colder temperatures. apparently, dc has failed to drop below 22 degrees. i don't have a weather station, but i'm pretty sure we had 1 or 2 nights that were bitter cold. of course, gotta take into account uhi and where they're actually observing. anyhow, that's that. it's been a winter of not being cold enough when we need it to be cold enough.

the argument could be made that we were simply due for a dud. i know...gambler's fallacy, yada yada, but in meterology with cycles/oscillations/etc. being due might have some merit. i think what adds insult to injury for this winter is that aside from that january event last year (which was a great storm imo), we've been on a slide since jan '16. that's a long stretch, so hopefully the pattern shifts. lwx made a fb post in regards to the ++++++++++++AO being the main culprit for this winter's dud. others have said similar obviously, but it was the first time i'd seen lwx make a post about it.

this weather is definitely bringing out the flies, at least where i live. just had to spray down the window seals. mosquitoes were in beast mode 2 summers ago. not as bad last year, but still legit. hopefully that's not going to be the case this year. i also feel like my allergies are kicking up today lol. the argument could be made that we haven't had a winter this year...just a prolonged, late Fall.

i felt like that after playing hoops 2 weeks ago. i've biked some of those trails before. my aunt and uncle live in that area...it's a hidden world back there. the rain is definitely mucking things up for now which sucks because i'm trying to get back into shape as well...been on retirement since november lol i agree with your general theory...if it ain't gonna snow, you gotta find other ways to make things happen.

yea, this winter is a dud. still some time for a snowfall, but it's not a good look when we've had rainer after rainer through our prime climo. what can ya do.

yep, and i bet the rockets are scouting him with a fine toothed comb lol. they might be in a reasonable position to draft him. the offense is a direct correlation to the touch fouls called. it's opened up the game...too much imo. in other news, that unc/duke game was wild.

just saw a mock draft that has jalen in the 20s. i think he can find his way in as a late lottery pick, but it'll be system dependent. i think his near term potential is on a team looking for a steady backup big.

jalen smith is legit, from what i've seen. do i think he'll be a star in the nba? that's up for debate. i think he's going to be more successful in small ball lineups or alongside someone like gobert/davis/drummond/embiid. he's not a premier, rock handling big man with a step back game, but i think he has a chance to get some real minutes at the next level, possibly as a starter in the right system. i haven't watched a lot of terps games this year. to me, they play a bit too conservative at times, turgeon style, but they've got an all around squad. they have a chance to make a tourney run as long as they don't dig too much of a hole because they don't have the high powered offense that some of those gary teams had.

i think it's gonna be entirely up to the northern stream and how much/how fast the cold infiltrates this area, if at all. the boundary seems pretty close, so this could fluctuate a bit over the next couple days.

lol, i always get that saying mixed up as well. going into spring without a snowstorm is a bit lame, but what can ya do. i agree that any prolonged wintry stretch is, well, a stretch, but we've had these quick cold shots so i still think a storm is possible...maybe a couple. just won't end up being a traditional, 1980s winter.

While passing time...radar loop of the great feb ‘10...

i could see a mix/rain to snow setup with this based on how that front and ss vort interact. with that subtropical ridge i wouldn't expect a slider, but i suppose anything is possible.

the latter part of next week is pretty interesting on the gfs.

Yea I only recently found out about it. This is only the 2nd time I’ve been. It’s flowy and I do remember some sections with small rocks. Different layout than Schaeffer. I parked by the lake (south) and rode all the up to clarksburg (about 6.3 miles) then back down the road bc I was cooked lol.

schaeffer was actually closed monday due to wet/muddy conditions (which was annoying), so i went to black hill west and truth be told, it was fairly dry lol. sounds like i might have just lucked out.

Hmm, yea I guess I just expected it to be more damp/muddy, though a flood watch also implies the ground is already saturated so maybe it was just drier at the surface where I was biking (northern moco).

i haven't paid attention to the water table, but it might be needed. ground seemed fairly dry when i went biking the other day...more so than in recent weeks.