cbmclean

I am curious as to why there is an increased thermal gradient. My understanding is that high latitudes are warming faster than the tropics so I would expect that to lead to a reduced thermal gradient.

But it also has a correlation to dryness. No moisture, no snow.

I admit to being a fainter, but I try to keep my spells off of the board. That being said, I am only able to devote a tiny percentage of the time to this hobby that I would like right now so I depend on this board for pretty much all my LR information. I'm actually going to try to make myself a little chart to encapsulate a subjective opinion the status of how good or bad the pattern looks on the two primary ensembles (GEFS, EPS). To keep it apples-to-apples I am only going to ignore the 06Z and 18Z GEFS, and just consider at the 00Z and 12Z runs. So my plan is to fill in this chart with values from 1 - 10, with 1 being last January and 10 being the best pattern you can imagine. I accept any and all suggestions for numbers 00Z GEFS 00Z EPS Day1 - 5 3 3 Day 6 - 10 5 5 Day 11-15 7 1

I lurk a lot on here and I'd say the GEFS gets almost as much attention as the EPS. If the EPS gets a bit more attention, its because it has superior verification scores. I haven't looked but someone said that the GEPS agrees with the EPS. So its definitely worth some concern.

I watched too. Hard to believe he's gone.

For some reason this plays in my head like that speech from trainspotting Choose life. Choose a job. Choose a career. Choose a family. Choose a f--king big television, Choose washing machines, cars, compact disc players, and electrical tin openers. Choose good health, low cholesterol and dental insurance. Choose fixed-interest mortgage repayments. Choose a starter home. Choose your friends. Choose leisure wear and matching luggage. Choose a three piece suite on hire purchase in a range of f--king fabrics. Choose DIY and wondering who the f--k you are on a Sunday morning. Choose sitting on that couch watching mind-numbing spirit-crushing game shows, stuffing f--king junk food into your mouth. Choose rotting away at the end of it all, pissing your last in a miserable home, nothing more than an embarrassment to the selfish, f--ked-up brats you have spawned to replace yourselves. Choose your future. Choose life . . . But why would I want to do a thing like that? I chose not to choose life: I chose something else. And the reasons? There are no reasons. Who needs reasons when you've got heroinsnow?

I think Mack moved to Ohio. He can enjoy all those cutters now. I was wondering what happened to Cold Rain. And also Warm Nose.

I guess its events like that that make your commute worth it.

Sorry to stare: not because of NAM extrapolation. It's just that you remind me of someone famous. I bet if you weren't wearing a mask I could figure out who it is.

Going to hurt to see my Dolphins sit at home. Man if they hadn't dropped that game to Denver...

Someone posted this same frame in the SE forum and it made me raise my eyebrows. Could that high ridge be suggestive of the mythical cross polar flow?

Doesn't it compete with GFS for second place with general verification scores?

Question for anyone. How does confluence impact geopotential height?

bootleg snowflakes.

Bootleg.

So is there some sort of inter-seasonal memory? I had never heard that.

They lost contact. The whole country was crushed under the weight of that ginormous high.

Actually there were widespread snow flurries in NC on Christmas day as a result of the forcing from that Mega-front. I saw some in Old Fort NC (just east of Asheville) and my parents saw some in Hope Mills (just southwest of Fayetteville). Of course, nothing stuck but it was still nice to see on Christmas.

Third straight year of torch for the first 1/3 to 1/2 of January. It's becoming a New Year's tradition.

Which three are those? I assume you include the NAO and AO. What is the third? PNA or EPO? I am assuming PNA because the EPO looked stuck positive for the foreseeable future when last I saw a few days ago.

The blocking could disappear leaving only the positive anomalies.

I almost feel that the thread was too positive this afternoon. Time for the 0Z runs to ruin it.

Someone posted a twitter link where Ji had posted the first comment. I clicked on his name and went to his twitter feed. That is not what I expected Ji to look like. It did amuse me that his handle is "jhatem". https://twitter.com/jhatem

I like that little tiny cool anomaly over the UP of Michigan. They are going to get their snow regardless.