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jm1220

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Everything posted by jm1220

  1. jm1220
    In Albany at a work meeting. Huge boom of thunder with the storms a half hour ago downtown.
  2. jm1220
    So far 79 here for the high. Seabreeze is moving north of the LIE now so it’s now or never for 80. Edit-and wouldn’t ya know it, 80 lol. Compressional heating FTW.
  3. jm1220
    Sea breeze so far is pinned around Sunrise Highway. We roast.
  4. jm1220
    South Jersey Alley’s been well documented here lol.
  5. jm1220
    Couple of low 80s popping up north of JFK over into central Nassau north of the seabreeze. 73 here-a beaut.
  6. jm1220
    Might be that the MJO phases that this perma-Nina keeps us stuck in help generate this -NAO in April. And I know it’s not officially a Nina and we’re coming out of a strong Nino officially, but the boiling WPAC effectively keeps us in a Nina state. The E PAC gets the headlines when calling an El Niño or La Niña but as we can see the W PAC state is just as/more important and that hasn’t left strong Nina with -PDO in 5 years now.
  7. jm1220
    Yep and from the looks of things there might be a lot of nighttime tornadoes which are the worst from a casualty standpoint. Scary is right, and looks headed right for the OKC-Wichita corridor.
  8. jm1220
    Up to 70 despite the cloud cover. Good luck any day predicting the highs.
  9. jm1220
    When the constant back door gunk ends right around Memorial Day, we’re finally good for summer. June was the never ending N flow around the Canadian high that brought the smoke in.
  10. jm1220
    Sheet drizzle fest.
  11. jm1220
    Looks also like more over the top heat dome in Canada. That big high up there last summer dried it up and allowed the huge fire season that brought the smoke down here on the N flow. Maybe it’ll help keep the hurricanes away if the flow is more east to west vs N up the coast. But that puts FL and the Gulf Coast in trouble. As we know SE FL is way overdue and would make the FL insurance industry go belly up if we have a Cat 4 or 5 into anywhere from PBI to Miami.
  12. jm1220
    Really is like clockwork. Last spring was the exact same with the weekend wet patterns.
  13. jm1220
    Yup, that’ll be good at least. My car’s caked in it.
  14. jm1220
    Yup, finally a few days of westerly flow hopefully.
  15. jm1220
    Next back door front is already on the way-you can see it on radar coming into the twin forks. Definitely was a nice day when the sun came out, but it was a bummer that the summer temps were a bust.
  16. jm1220
    Kudos to the NAM and other models that kept the summer air at bay. It’s a tough call east of the city whenever there’s a back door/SE wind pattern. GFS had the wind turning westerly which never happened here. It did turn nice once the clouds finally broke but the barrier beaches probably stayed at 60 or below.
  17. jm1220
    Cleared out but stuck at 70 likely due to the onshore wind. The warmer models also had us switching to a W wind and we’re still SE. That also caused the clouds to hang on. This’ll be as warm as we get until the wind changes.
  18. jm1220
    I mean I’m at 62 now which isn’t bad, but of course today’s the day the clouds refuse to break up, when we had a legit shot at 80. NAM for the win?
  19. jm1220
    The Bronx at 71 now and I’m stuck at 55 and mist. Cmon….
  20. jm1220
    There was a bit of a model war yesterday between the 3k NAM that had a more cloudy/backdoor-y look today and GFS which shot everyone west of the William Floyd to 80. Looks like Upton lowered my point/click high for the day. It’ll be a day to day struggle as long as we’re in this pattern.
  21. jm1220
    70s in W NJ. We’ll shoot right up when the clouds break unless the onshore flow kicks up.
  22. jm1220
    When the clouds break, we’ll take off. Models kept it cloudy the last 2 days so they were too cold. Watch this be the day the clouds hang on.
  23. jm1220
    Wow, 75 in a few areas. Winds are light so the seabreeze/back door front aren’t big factors. Tomorrow should hit 80 for most if we clear out early.
  24. jm1220
    Very nice here after clouds broke up, and probably off to the races over 70 where seabreeze is muted. Tomorrow might be near 80 again.
  25. jm1220
    Yup, we need to get that out of here before any consistent warmup.
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