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jm1220

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Everything posted by jm1220

  1. jm1220
    Take whatever can survive east of Queens this time of year. At least we’re getting this before the long dry/hot stretch.
  2. jm1220
    Mod-heavy rain and some thunder.
  3. jm1220
    You can see the various outflow/seabreeze boundaries in S NJ where the storms exploded as they collided. Of course that meant other places like yours got skipped over. Looks like LI might luck out here with these storms coming east. Sky getting dark to the west.
  4. jm1220
    South Jersey Alley rarely disappoints in these.
  5. jm1220
    Our real shot later is the stuff in central PA surviving. Hopefully all this crudvection doesn’t ruin it but probably will.
  6. jm1220
    Any decent amount of rain for the lawns would be great. I’ll believe any storms refiring for east of the city in June when I see it.
  7. jm1220
    Yep, with that we’d probably reach low 90s IMBY but the south shore would be mid 80s. Of course this makes the humidity worse and will drive the SSTs up faster. Even if it’s a few degrees cooler near the coast doesn’t make it feel any better.
  8. jm1220
    I guess now we need to start looking out for Nantucket Highs in the summer?
  9. jm1220
    Lawns will need it for sure given what’s coming. Hope we get it.
  10. jm1220
    Always the chance too that the ridge is too steep/centered west of us which would cause our winds to be southerly or even bring a back door front through. We’d want a flatter ridge for big heat like the Euro. If we start seeing more height falls to our NE again it’s a big red flag IMO.
  11. jm1220
    12z Euro has 100s area wide late next week. Even has 100 on LI.
  12. jm1220
    If we really heat up for a while, by Aug if anything we’d want the westerly winds near the coast because the onshore flow just jacks up the humidity with little/any cooling. 93/75 or higher is worse than 98/68. Up here on the N shore is the worst of both worlds.
  13. jm1220
    Yep, I’d think we want a flatter ridge to keep the flow westerly and downslope for the high end heat. A steep ridge might cause it to be too southerly and promote daily convection.
  14. jm1220
    Yup, and hopefully enough of this 50-50 trough can remain to recurve them. Of course an active Gulf/Caribbean season screws people regardless. FL is one huge hit into PBI-Miami or Tampa (way overdue) from an insurance catastrophe.
  15. jm1220
    May all hoodies and coats be thrown outdoors and spontaneously combust.
  16. jm1220
    The first time we get a deep westerly flow like that many of us will see 100s. We’ve been spoiled with SW or S wind heatwaves the last few summers. I guess we’re fortunate that there’s no major drought that westerly wind would come from but that’s a downslope flow that would heat up big time.
  17. jm1220
    Yep. I had to put on a… wait for it…. Hoodie!
  18. jm1220
    If we get a sustained westerly wind heat event (which might be hard with the ridge poking so far north, we’d be prone to more of a southerly flow) it’ll get well into the 100s for most.
  19. jm1220
    I guess the trade off for perma-Nina ruining our winters is beautiful summers like this without heat. Today I’ll definitely take it.
  20. jm1220
    Ended with 2-2.5” or so. Those storms just kept firing for most of the evening.
  21. jm1220
    Been getting drenched here IMBY.
  22. jm1220
    Yup. More back door garbage.
  23. jm1220
    Winds off the sound here, compressional heating down there. 81 in Long Beach, 76 here.
  24. jm1220
    Looks like storms/rain will split N and S of the city/LI.
  25. jm1220
    My high was 82 I think. If winds could've been SW for a while instead of due S, we would've been upper 80s.
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