jm1220

Always does this time of year as long as winds stay offshore.

This time of year the temps will usually overshoot guidance-leaves aren’t on the trees yet so less evapotranspiration. When the high is supposed to be 65, expect 70 as long as winds aren’t onshore which is always another question.

Could be worse. I missed the blizzard we just had.

64 here. Snow hanging tough in the shaded half of my backyard.

You should write it a eulogy. It lived a glorious life and had lots of friends that all dwindled away one by one until he was the only one left standing.

It’ll be gone by the end of the day.

Lots of tree damage around here mostly from the blizzard that’s becoming more clear as the snow melts. The night of the blizzard a huge tree came down across Jericho Turnpike a couple miles west of my house, and lots of smaller trees/large branches came down either in this storm or other times during the winter.

My backyard still about half covered on the half that gets the least sunlight-we’re into the stuff from late January that is pure glacier. But by the end of today that will be largely gone. Low 50s here and high dews.

Geez-41 on the barrier islands still. Good luck getting any kind of warmth there this month.

Buh bye snow.

Snow eating fog overnight. Holding strong in about 60% of my backyard but by morning most of it might be gone.

And 41 degrees at the barrier islands. Upper 40s and a seabreeze lol.

36 degree waters at Jones Beach. Lots more misery to come.

First socked in day of probably many to come.

Have to give it an A. Was tempted to say A- since we got relatively shafted here in the blizzard but the combination of cold and over 50” on the season is definitely high end. If we get a good snow event this month I’ll go A+.

Yep. Just the big dirt ice piles to look forward to. Probably take several days or more of 70s to get rid of those.

I hope so-the AIFS being right but we know how these backdoor setups usually go this time of year and even into May some years-they’re more aggressive than models show 100+ hours out. And the waters have a long way to go to start warming up. Jones Beach has been 35-36 degrees the last few days. That’ll make itself felt any way it can.

My area specifically has just gotten skunked on any kind of jackpot/historic type event. The last 20” snowstorm I’ve seen has probably been PDII in 2003 when I was 16. A couple have come close but still nothing like even 20 miles east of me. My specific area is great for moderate to 12” type events but never gets the jackpot, ever. The snow average here is quite good relatively speaking because we do well in those marginal to moderate events. But 16-17” here too and 29” at Islip, again maybe 14-15” here in Jan 2022, over 2 feet for Islip.

Sure does. And in the summer when we really need the rain, we’ll be dry for weeks.

Yep we need the rain but these 33-35 deals and rain are the worst. SWFEs in general are the worst. I don’t care we get the one out of 10 to work out here, I’ll never root for them at our latitude, ever.

Yep. The minute I start seeing the low heights over the Maritimes in the spring, I know what that means here. Hoping somehow we can keep ridging and westerly flow.

Beautiful is always tough to come by here. Those waters are chilly and stay that way for 2+ more months.

If we go into a weak to moderate Nino hopefully not. Would still be great to get out of this perma-Nina state with the boiling western Pacific dominating the pattern.

Snow is taking a beating-yesterday with temps well in the 40s and sun and definitely today with rain and 40.

Our dirt ice piles in the shopping malls might last a couple days longer than the Hudson Valley’s though.