zenmsav6810

Daffodils are starting to poke up through the ground/snow, pansies are out for sale at the green houses in Amish country! Rare Snow Rollers reported by WFMZ: https://www.wfmz.com/news/feature-belt/snow-rolls-spotted-in-the-lehigh-valley-berks-county/article_ef6cb8d8-7988-11eb-bf00-2b72931471e5.html For those unfamiliar: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Snow_roller

I had to go into work really early. According to the car thermometer at 4:30am it was 41F in North Coventry I got to Coventryville it was 26F, East Earl it was 36F at 5:25am. Strange fluctuations.

Not sure how you can rage quit winter... its not even March yet!

This one is probably the most difficult forecast of the year. Modeling has this storm to spread out. If anyone is to cash in the gradiet will need to be tighter. Leave it to Fox 29 to pull the rabbit out of the hat to make up for the misses this season.

Carson had 4 years to make his case. He's bad news Bears.

My cousins son is a minuteman! I've always have been a golf fan, Justin Rose and Sean O'hair are some of the hometown favorites around here. Do we have any other golfers on here? I've always like Philly sports, I'm probably most partial to the Eagles, The Phillies are my NL team and I dont follow the NBA or Hockey very much.

Good .2" of icey/sleety crust here in North Coventry this morning... late to work.

Could switch it to Wentzisaweenie

Can I have that in writing?... oh wait.

In my limited experience as a youngster I whole heartedly concur. The NAM tends to score well with these over running events!

Weenie jump in our hour of triumph? Dare, say are the words of a man sick of snow!

Sorry Folks, I was away at a meeting. Thats the one I am refering too Kamu. I should have copied it in.

DT has a map out.... first one of his this season that I think will verify. He Thinks the ice storm risk is significant. Makes sense the last interior ice storm hit almost this time of year was that 13-14?

DT just asked for a divorce from the Euro and UKMET...

"December to remember" or "February to remember where 'ye!...."

This -NAO and that SER reflection is a bit like standing on one foot. Not super stable but it can still stay like that for awhile np at least until something pushes it over. The forecast looks snowy. I wonder why the Euro is having problems with this.

Big old fat Ole flakes here in chester County pottstown. Perhaps the biggest of the season. Rebecca's northeast weather has the upside covered for this storm

Everything covered im glad church was canceled!

and here i'm calling Cecily the lawyer... unbelievable thats an amateur forecasting tactic if I ever heard one.

That seems to be almost a fallacy or bug.... wouldn't the probability of 8"+ be included in the mathematical intersection of 12"+ ....if it was the probability of 8-12" then it would make sense as the probability of 8-12" would be part of the complement of the probability of 12"+ Of course weenie rule #119 is never look modeled snow in the mouth!

That makes me feel better actually! Thanks!

It triggers me that nw chester isn't in light blue. It's like they should continue the border from berks count to the east west median in Chester. We are used to getting snow in French creek, elverson, pheonixville, Bucktown, malvern, pottstown, Coventryville, Nantahala, chestersprings....we can handle it.

Money comes to snow or a fool and his flakes soon parted?

This thread isn't to debate vendor mets but I find that the WFMZ forecasters are pretty good, I think they get the broadcast/scientist mix correct. Personally I think Cecily has a broad appeal, however I notice she has a tendency to "lawyer" her forecasts to protect against the downside. From what I've come to understand is that the Candian is a bit of an after thought for many forecasters. I notice it does best in our area with ice events where there is a lot of bombogensis going on.

Easy does it-- lets just keep the forum rules in mind. This is intended to be a somewhat professional foum. Professional forecasters (and high level ametuers) tend to get upset with people that get overly emotional with forecast/outcome. If we want those valued contributers to continue to grace our presence here we should keep their user experience in mind. We have the added responsibility here that we are self moderated in this forum. For that reason I think the quicker the storm the better. I'm hoping for a regular old blitz blizzard. So quick it never has a chance to warm up.... Earlier probably helps us out too with the precip type. I think these kinds of setups work out well for us NW of 95. They are almost like mini-miller A's. The frontgensis aspect of this storm might be getting over amped by the NAM especially the hi-res. I have a feeling the Euro has a good final answer to this storm despite being 1000 miles off course 36ish hours ago! Never under estimate having snow on the ground for helping with temperatures. Snow comes to snow like money comes to money!