zenmsav6810
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Everything posted by zenmsav6810
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GD1 for groundhog day...seems apt considering the analog.
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One of the reasons I haven't commented until now. There's no dance the snow gods like better than the weenie jump... it eggs them on!
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Looks like we owe someone an apology.... lol nope.
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Precipitation type issues are probably because of strong upper level convection. Hopefully as the sun starts to go down this improves. Has to get worse before it gets better. -
I had about 2" of sleet that storm. Still ended up with about 23" as a total.
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This storm is beginning to remind me of PDII
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the cognitive dissonance is overwhelming ......
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Seems like its running a bit behind the others but I cant be certain
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Dry slot in Pottstown
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light snow showers for the last 20 minutes here in Pottstown. Picking up now. Storm says lets get down to business!
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If there was a two weenie button I would use it.
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Too early to Weenie jump. All the ingredients are in place. The only thing that worries me is the persistent warm day time temps and the above normal rainfall. We're already ahead compared to a few of the last winters.
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Believe it or not it was actually on the NWS forecast for my area for 20% chance of flurries/showers. In hindsight they probably should have issued a snow squall warning.
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DT is a dog chasing his tail on this 2/5 deal... Candian shows a SECS for some of our neck of the woods taken as literal. Model Mayhem ensues.
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Yeah, with things in such dire states in D.C it hard to see any of the pre-sequester stuff coming back anytime soon... We need a pro-technical president triple research funding for space, medical, infrastructure and education. The other thing that bothers me about our country is the cost of college education, it takes all of our technical minds and basically forces them to take jobs at already existing corporations instead of allowing new graduates to try their hand opening their own businesses or going on to graduate school. It literally takes the creative lifeblood out of our economy. How did we lose our momentum from the 1990's? First, we had a moron president... then we got a moron congress ...now we are going to have both. Although we have only ourselves to blame.
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I think mount holly has been excellent this season. Im in no way criticizing just trying to understand the prevailing consensus attitude of forecasting using modern models at nws.
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Interesting to put it that way. I never thought of it from that perspective before. Basically, you are saying its harder to make a good forecast because there are simply more duties and less time to sit back and take a good think.
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Maybe he wasn't using the most up-to-date "actual measurements" data. He probably has staff (maybe even unreliable staff) for that. Perhaps in the chaos of the daily news cycle, something got confused. Hard to believe he would compromise his scientific ethic or journalistic standard for ego. I am willing to give the benefit of the doubt. He was spot on with the "none to coating" region which I think is a more important/difficult forecast. Honestly how differently does one prepare for a 5.5" versus a 3 incher? that humanistic value has to be factor when judging a forecast too. hurricane1091 I know you are relatively new here but occasionally Glenn lurks on this subforum so consider your words accordingly, we like having him as a participant here even if can't necessary post his analysis. It gives some credibility/validation to what we do here.
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Yeah GMorse I guess I keep forgetting about the two wave aspect of this storm. I guess DT hasn't really made a forecast for our part of the show. I guess im not being fair.
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I meant to say "first map".... these nebulous definitions that indie forecasting shops use to cover their rear ends drive me nuts!
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DT's first call gives us a total screw job. Don't think this storm is going to do exactly that. Putting my money on Mt. Holly and Glenn on this one.
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You could actually respond to a valid point with a reasoned thought, but your pea-brain is only capable of memes.
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Seems like a stretch. Does geographic continuity play no role in this? It seems more like a convenient fix to combine the two smallest subforums into one. What's wrong with merging us with upstate NY/PA that seems to make the most sense in my book?
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Parts of that forum are 400-500 miles away from here. I frankly can't see how the lovely people of TN would care about every thunderstorm that rolls through Cape May. If this happens I will boycott this forum for its ridiculous management. Haven't you people ever hear of "if it ain't broke, don't fix it."
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Seems like early winter keeps getting postponed. I know people keep talking about King Euro but what King Euro giveth, King Euro taketh. I've always advocated for Christmas happening around January 15th instead... Mother Nature owes us a white Christmas... its been awhile.
