wxmeddler

For as much as we suffered through June & July; JJA as a season is gonna come back looking average.

TS Watches for OBX as of the 5p advisory

The washing machine took me out 2 weeks ago when the last NE'ly flow event happened. I'm still finding sand in places you'd never think sand could ever reach.

18z GFS has a doozy. Some very weak ensemble support as well. Odds still very much against though.

The Ridgely MD Mesonet station picked up 1.10" in 20 min. That's impressive.

Can't complain for July 22nd. The lower dew points didn't sink as far south as I expected.

The flooding down in Fauquier / Manassas counties sounds isolatedly bad.

Sfc-6km mean wind was ~10kts which is borderline flash flooding territory, but the CAM's all had good agreement on this being a cold-pool driven event. Seems like the bay breeze caused trouble though in Lancaster county.

The cell in northern Loudoun / S Frederick Co's is first cell today that I've seen push 50dbz above the -20c level, so that's something.

Agreed. The hygrometer is usually the first instrument to go wacky. They likely haven't calibrated / replaced it in awhile.

That seems way too high. What does it say the is the T/Td is?

A Blue Box with 42m people in it.

The bay waters are are pushing 85+, the high dew points have not allowed ET off the surface to cool it. People are going to be talking about marine heat wave soon if this keeps up another few weeks.

Based on the MD just issued, I'm assuming a severe T-storm watch is coming soon. T-Storm warnings now for Culpeper / Fauquier

This morning's 12z balloon had 2.07" PWAT which is right about climatological max for this time of year. We got the smashed spider hodograph though, so expecting some wet down-bursts later.