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hawkeye_wx

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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx

  1. A few of the models overdid the snow here, on the nw edge. I only got 0.6". The trailing energy dropping in from the north now may also produce its snow a bit farther east. I might get another 0.5" tonight.
  2. The 00z UK has shifted north with the GFS and Euro.
  3. The 00z Euro has the upper energy digging southward into Iowa pulling some moisture back northwestward through cyclone and into northeast Iowa. Models have been teasing this a bit, but it comes and goes. It wasn't there on the 12z Euro.
  4. I received 1.1". Models never agreed, but I got about the average of all of them. The wet Euro from a couple days ago was very wrong, but so were the bone-dry CAMs.
  5. Models have this upper low dipping across the Mexico border. That's simply too far south for Iowa. We need this to move east across NM and into the TX panhandle.
  6. Unsurprisingly, the 00z Euro did pull back a bit from its 18z run. However, it still has a decent, light event. I'd like to get some insulation on the ground before the cold moves in. I'd take 2".
  7. The 18z Euro suddenly greatly increased the band of snow up through Cedar Rapids. We went from 1" on the 12z to 3+" on the 18z. The 18z H5 maps show a sharper wave over my area, but it wouldn't surprise me if it's just a one-run blip. Other models are much drier.
  8. My final snow slop total is 1.3". The liquid total is 0.56".
  9. We started as snow, but quickly flipped to mix for a while. Once we flipped back to snow much of the precip had lifted north. My mix/snow total is 1.1". The liquid total is over a half inch, so this stuff is super wet.
  10. Yeah, it's nearing 60º south of I-80, but only mid 40s at my house. The cell is weakening as it moves into CR.
  11. Tornado warning just sw of Cedar Rapids.... confirmed tornado.
  12. It's always fun to go from middle of the heavy band to little or nothing in 24 hours.
  13. 12z Euro - Trending stronger in the plains and weaker and north around here.
  14. Don't expect a bump southeast. In fact, the overnight models are trending nw. The Euro jumped nw significantly. Even the 06z EPS shifted most of the snow nw of Cedar Rapids. The heavy band is now Nebraska through northeast Iowa.
  15. This appears to be a typical Iowa "big" storm, which lays down a swath of 4-6".
  16. It sure is looking bleak. At first it was "maybe after the first week of January", then "it should flip mid-month". Now, we're hoping for something the final third of the month.
  17. The upper low moved through overnight and dropped 0.8" here.
  18. MSP has had incredible luck so far this season. Nearly every system has taken the perfect track. The current upper low could not have stalled in a better spot.
  19. I picked up 0.67" of rain overnight and this morning, a satisfactory total considering how inconsistent models were. It appears there won't be much model-watching for the next couple weeks.
  20. I remember the drought. While 2012 was, by far, the driest of the last fifteen years, 2022 was my second driest, just barely edging out 2021. We really need to ditch this la nina drought crap. Overall, it was a forgettable year, weather-wise. Edit: Of course, the Christmas cold and official blizzard here in Cedar Rapids was one of the bigger events in 2022.
  21. Yeah, we are over-performing big time... up to 59º.
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