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hawkeye_wx

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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx

  1. hawkeye_wx
    Yeah, it's nearing 60º south of I-80, but only mid 40s at my house. The cell is weakening as it moves into CR.
  2. hawkeye_wx
    Sirens are going off in Cedar Rapids.
  3. hawkeye_wx
    Tornado warning just sw of Cedar Rapids.... confirmed tornado.
  4. hawkeye_wx
    00z Euro says Minneapolis bulls-eye yet again. Unreal.
  5. hawkeye_wx
    It's always fun to go from middle of the heavy band to little or nothing in 24 hours.
  6. hawkeye_wx
    12z Euro - Trending stronger in the plains and weaker and north around here.
  7. hawkeye_wx
    Don't expect a bump southeast. In fact, the overnight models are trending nw. The Euro jumped nw significantly. Even the 06z EPS shifted most of the snow nw of Cedar Rapids. The heavy band is now Nebraska through northeast Iowa.
  8. hawkeye_wx
    This appears to be a typical Iowa "big" storm, which lays down a swath of 4-6".
  9. hawkeye_wx
    It sure is looking bleak. At first it was "maybe after the first week of January", then "it should flip mid-month". Now, we're hoping for something the final third of the month.
  10. hawkeye_wx
    The upper low moved through overnight and dropped 0.8" here.
  11. hawkeye_wx
    MSP has had incredible luck so far this season. Nearly every system has taken the perfect track. The current upper low could not have stalled in a better spot.
  12. hawkeye_wx
    I picked up 0.67" of rain overnight and this morning, a satisfactory total considering how inconsistent models were. It appears there won't be much model-watching for the next couple weeks.
  13. hawkeye_wx
    I remember the drought. While 2012 was, by far, the driest of the last fifteen years, 2022 was my second driest, just barely edging out 2021. We really need to ditch this la nina drought crap. Overall, it was a forgettable year, weather-wise. Edit: Of course, the Christmas cold and official blizzard here in Cedar Rapids was one of the bigger events in 2022.
  14. hawkeye_wx
    Yeah, we are over-performing big time... up to 59º.
  15. hawkeye_wx
    My December snow total is up to 7.4" and my season total is 10.1". Both are close to average.
  16. hawkeye_wx
    We started out with a wave of blah pixie dust last night, but the enhanced snow near the low this morning dropped beautiful, fluffy dendrites that piled up to 2.5 inches. The 4 inches of sugar a few days ago had a ratio of only 8.5 to 1. This stuff is 20 to 1.
  17. hawkeye_wx
    Light sugar after dark is always exciting to watch.
  18. hawkeye_wx
    4 inches total here despite 0.47" liquid. That is only about an 8.5 to 1 ratio. I expected much higher than that given the cold atmosphere. The flake size was quite small throughout.
  19. hawkeye_wx
    Dang, dude. You've received my avg season total before Christmas, a heck of a start to winter.
  20. hawkeye_wx
    Our temp just fell below zero. It's actually not blowing that much, yet, so the snow is still measurable. I was at 3 inches at 6am, so I'll probably end up with 4-5 inches.
  21. hawkeye_wx
    2.4 inches in my yard from wave #1.
  22. hawkeye_wx
    The lack of a deep moisture feed must have something to do with it. Models show the deep moisture surging up the east coast and into southeastern Canada... pretty far away from Michigan. I remember GHD 1 well. That storm had a big ball of deep gulf moisture on top of the low as it ejected toward the lakes. That's what we need.
  23. hawkeye_wx
    Gotta love the relative dry pocket up through southeast Iowa where we get stuck in between an initial good band of snow to the nw and the organizing main system well east. That is showing up on other models as well. The whole trough is just getting kicked eastward too quickly for us.
  24. hawkeye_wx
    The Euro ends up weaker (for western areas), less snow across the board compared to the 12z run. The GFS was a bit of a fluke as the rest of the model sweet is more east and either less amped or delayed amp. For Iowa, the Euro is much tamer than the GFS's historic blizzard.
  25. hawkeye_wx
    It's a battle between my excitement and knowing this is 4-5 days away. This low, on the GFS, shifted from West Virginia to northeast Illinois in 24 hours. A lot can and will happen this week.
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