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hawkeye_wx

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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx

  1. hawkeye_wx
    It's amazing how stuck the pattern is this winter. It doesn't seem to matter which phase the MJO is in. We just cannot get a trough in the west.
  2. hawkeye_wx
    Man, this winter is really brutal for snow lovers. I can't remember anything like this. An entire winter with little to no hope of anything is astonishing. Day after day, the ensembles out to 15 days are bone dry.
  3. hawkeye_wx
    This is not a snowfall graphic we see very often.
  4. hawkeye_wx
    We way over-performed today, warmed to 53º.
  5. hawkeye_wx
    Houston and New Orleans may get accumulating snow early next week.
  6. hawkeye_wx
    0.9" of snow here this morning.
  7. hawkeye_wx
    Suppression, suppression, suppression... ad infinitum. The 12z deterministic Euro even has a strong deep south snow and ice storm. Ugh.
  8. hawkeye_wx
    Parts of Iowa have still had no measurable snow this winter, and there is little to nothing in sight. Meanwhile, Birmingham and Atlanta are getting 2-3" this morning.
  9. hawkeye_wx
    Models have also really backed off of the extreme cold they were advertising a week ago. Now it just looks like some typical January cold. The latest model runs don't even have any sub-zero lows here.
  10. hawkeye_wx
    The deterministic/op Euro has actually shown a clear south and drier trend from 12z to 18z to 00z today.
  11. hawkeye_wx
    00z GFS.... south on the western end, north on the eastern end. The totals are wildly overdone, but I'm just following the track of the snow path.
  12. hawkeye_wx
    Here's the final Iowa snow map.
  13. hawkeye_wx
    18z Euro is back south a bit.
  14. hawkeye_wx
    I got 1.9" of snow today. I'm pretty happy with that. It's our first 1" snow event of the season.
  15. hawkeye_wx
    We had some long dry stretches again this year, but I finished with 41" of precip, a whopping 16" more than 2023. Two periods that stand out are the very wet July (almost 9") and the 2-week period from late October to early November during which I received 7" of rain.
  16. hawkeye_wx
    This storm has been as locked-in as any big storm gets days ahead of the event. Unfortunately, it's locked in south of Iowa. Northern Missouri should get crushed.
  17. hawkeye_wx
    12z Euro... There is pretty good consensus with four days to go. The storm peaks in northern Missouri, then slowly fades as it heads east or even ese into the less favorable upper flow. That big dry pocket over MN/IA/WI/nIL makes me sad. As the storm organizes in Kansas, that would typically be very favorable for Iowa.
  18. hawkeye_wx
    Those of us in the I-80 corridor really needed the big southeast Canada gyre to lift out, but it just isn't. It remains parked as the storm approaches, continuing the wnw flow across the lakes region.
  19. hawkeye_wx
    The 00z GFS shows the eastern trough lifting out more than recent runs. That allows the storm to eject a bit farther north.
  20. hawkeye_wx
    Latest Euro... the model trend is clear. It will be difficult to get this up to the I-80 corridor with the big se Canada upper low holding strong.
  21. hawkeye_wx
    I received 0.22" from this system. Some of the models were pretty bad, going back and forth from north to south. A few models, even up to last night, predicted several hours of light snow. We did not see a single flake.
  22. hawkeye_wx
    Models have all gone back south with tonight's system, so I will likely get nothing. Even southern Iowa won't get much, though... just some modest rain and a bit of wet snow.
  23. hawkeye_wx
    A change in the flow over the upper midwest on the latest op Euro appears to lead to the potential storm being weaker and well south of previous runs.
  24. hawkeye_wx
    Booya! The 12z GFS has fully joined the Euro. A major wave moves into the pacNW, the eastern trough exits, but leaves cold air in place across the north, and we get a big snowstorm in the midwest.
  25. hawkeye_wx
    It's still a week out, but, for the first time, the 06z GFS has joined the Euro in showing a much more amped wave moving into the pacNW, which then leads to a big event for the midwest.
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