It's bound to happen sooner or later with these coastals. Mabey the GFS is on to something. DT said this last night:
Wxrisk.com
*** ALERT SEVERE LONG DURATION COASTAL LOW INCREASINGLY LIKELY SUNDAY 12/17 - MONDAY 12/18/ TUES 12/19*** /1
There is no doubt now that we are looking at a major East Coast Nor'easter on Sunday and Monday that is going to last in some places more than 48 hours in terms of its duration… and will bring at least another 2 to 5 inches in total rainfall from Georgia to Maine. The truth of the matter is that this event would be a huge East Coast snowstorm with only a few small changes to the setup.
What I find encouraging about this is that unlike the last two or three years… in this late Autumn and early Winter e are getting frequent LOW pressure areas in the southern jet stream… coming out of the Deep South and the Gulf Coast and coming up the East Coast itself. So while you may be disappointed that this is actual rain versus Snow it is significant in that we are getting these Southern LOW pressure systems.
Wxrisk.com
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I cannot say this any stronger than this
Anyone-- whether that person is a weather weenie... or weather Hobbyist ...or a Meteorologist -- and they are telling you that the winter is over OR that it will underperform because the 2nd half of DEC pattern change is not going to happen originally thought-- is not just an idiot.
He /she is a fooking idiot.
Sounds like your intentionally grounding us, or you giving up so early in the season, I guess we will have to wait for Blizz to post future snow maps to get us back on the field after that costly penalty.
My son got an Ambient ws5000 and he got a temperature probe to put in the ground to monitor the ground temperature. Might be useful when snowstorms, sleet and freezing rain are forecast this winter. He's also transmitting his data to NWS in State College on some program he joined that's operated by NWS. Every 5 min data is transmitted to them
I believe there are changes coming, but will it translate into big snows, winter storms and cold? Or will be left with change over storms and marginal temps? It's been quite awhile since most of us experienced true winter weather.