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Everything posted by mahantango#1
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Central PA Winter 2024/2025
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Most of these local TV mets. know the area that they work in. They know the climatology of the area there forecasting for. Most have been on a certain tv station for many years. IMO this is a bad move by the media giants that own these stations. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I am look forward to your accumulation map. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
This should be concerning to all of us in Pa. and the rest of the country especially in severe weather situations. We might ridicule them at times, but when they break in a program to inform us of a tornado on the ground or flood warning that there is a needed to inform us all of a life or death situation. The reason for getting rid of tv station meteorologists is to save money. Just an FYI. The local media landscape is changing drastically and will continue to do so in the coming years. Many layoffs are to come, as smaller stations close down and local news becomes centralized to fewer locations. -Matthew -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
And lets not forget the all important DT start times too! -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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Central PA Winter 2024/2025
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
DT first call after 11pm. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I'm right on the border of th screw zone. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
At least most of us got a Winter Storm Watch. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I'm presuming if we get a good snow accumulation, will we need to be concerned about drifting? -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
When do you think we will get a consensus on the final track and amounts, would it be tomorrow afternoon some time? Probably it will change several more times till Sunday. Hopefully it's not a big letdown in the end. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Even DT's first guess map shows more than a brooming for you. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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Central PA Winter 2024/2025
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I'm sure the NWS will crush that theory... as they always do. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Is Marysville in a drought? Hard to tell on the map viewing from a phone. Asking for a friend -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
My low was 9.7 -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
My NWS forecast for Sunday and Sunday night has no mention of snow. Sunday Mostly cloudy, with a high near 32. Sunday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 12. M.L.King Day Mostly sunny, with a high near 18. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
And January is half over already, and still no big storm for most of us this winter. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
DT Video https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=sHhXc2SaarA -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
That's almost 10 degree difference. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
My coal usage so far this month is 8.33% higher than compared to the same time period of January 2024. It has been a cold month so far. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Low was 14 -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Write Sign up Sign in Wxrisk · Follow 3 min read · 7 hours ago 2 AN EARLY LOOK AT JAN 19–20…. Here I am going to briefly take a look at the promising January 19- 20 snowstorm /event since it is only 5 days away. Now I know what some of you will say — it is too early. The people who say that generally are not meteorologists. Remember the purpose of issuing the weather forecast is to get the information out to people businesses organizations that need it BEFORE the event begins Yes there is ANOTHER potentially another more significant system coming JAN 22–23 but lets just deal with this first one. THE SEQUENCE OF EVENTS 1 . The Arctic cold front that develops in the Midwest as Polar Jet and the southern (subtropical) jet stream phase and create gargantuan Trough in the Midwest that will pull down the Arctic air. The precipitation with this front will be primarily rain from Alabama to Virginia and up the I-95 corridor Saturday afternoon /evening. The rain will turn to snow in the mountains of Pennsylvania/ upstate and western New York/ and northern New England late Saturday. 2. The southern end of the cold front is going to stall and LOW pressure is going to form on the front on Sunday January 19. The LOW will intensify as it tracks in a NE direction. According to the latest data the Arctic air will reach into northern and western North Carolina/ most of Virginia (except for Hampton Roads) / central and eastern Maryland and Delaware before the main precipitation begins with the coastal storm. 3. This will result in at least a few inches of snow -possibly several. the snow band will extend into Delaware New Jersey and probably into NYC and southeast New England from Sunday evening into Monday morning. 4. This is going to be a fast moving event and much will depend on how close the LOW tracks to the coast once it leaves coastal North Carolina. IF the coastal LOW tracks ina ENE diection the heaviest snows will probably bypass Philly /NJ /and NYC. But if the LOW track MORE ne than these areas could see a accumulating snowfall on Sunday night. 5. Timing is everything here. Right now most of the model data has the cold air getting into the Middle Atlantic region Sunday morning and midday several hours before the coastal LOW begins to spread its precipitation into the Middle Atlantic region. But this is a variable: any delay of the arrival of the cold front even by 6 hours will make a huge difference with respect to where the snow is going to fall. 6. The model data as you can see here shows that the temperatures at 850mb (1 mile above the ground) will be cold enough to support all snow as far south Petersburg and near the North Carolina Virginia border -but not in Hampton Roads. The thick BLACK LINE that I have drawn in on these upper air Maps show the rain snow line — any precip falling north of the black line as snow. 7. Behind the system howling North winds will bring in even more Arctic air on Monday January 20. In fact Max temperature is my only go up 5° or so across the entire Middle Atlantic/ Ohio Valley /and New England regions on January 20. If there is snow on the ground in Virginia /Maryland/ Delaware /West Virginia/ northern North Carolina readings could drop below zero on either the morning of the 21st or the 22nd -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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Central PA Winter 2024/2025
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
You can't shovel potential. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I had a -30 on one of those days.