Met1985

Lol probably. Only one time this season that the models didn't deviate out and that was the upslope storm we had.

Eh it's hard to tell. The pattern will change hopefully. There are a ton of variables but I do think that we will be stuck with a bad Pacific for a few years. Something about everything balancing out in the west. They had severe drought for several years and now I think they are going to have some really big surpluses the next several winters which really they need.

Well the models have trended like crap this weekend. This has been a horrendous pattern really since December. I might need to move out west if this is going to be the norm. Especially with a negative pdo which last decades. The SER has been an immovable force this winter as well. A lot of just bad upper atmosphere drivers this winter.

Yeah heavy frost with a temp of 27 this morning.

As GA has explained it's a lot more complex than that. Especially when you have blocking over the top, a decaying Nina, a 50/50 low, different wavelengths.... It's a lot.

I just got power back on 30 minutes ago. 24 hours in the dark....

Still no power and Duke is saying might not have power until midnight tonight.

Yeah im thinking maybe elevation made a big difference from top to bottom....

That's weird because the wind hit on this side of the mountains before the storms hit. We had a ton of trees go down before the storms hit. About an hour ahead of the storms. Then the storms hit and all hell broke loose. Been without power for 15 hours now.

So we are cherry picking weather models. That's cool.

Not a bad signal Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Not a bad look at all at that time trame on the eps. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

A little further out on eps. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Eps has been rock steady. The date has always been around the 10th. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Looks great for the mountains. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Overnight euro Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Going on 13 hours without power currently..trees freaking down everywhere. Power lines down and transformers being replaced through the night.

In the ENS we trust, at least I do lol. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Absolutely pounding rainfall currently

Oh it is real nasty. Power going out everywhere. Fires are breaking out also.

Just lost power here in Haywood and the wind and rain is ripping.

Severe thunderstorm warning issued for Jackson and Haywood. Things are coming unglued in a hurry here.

A ton of trees down all over Haywood. Frim up in Bethel, on 215, to Crabtree to Waynesville. Calls all over the place for trees down currently.

Things are going to be getting turbulent soon. TORNADO WATCH 63 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EST FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS NCC011-021-023-027-043-045-075-087-089-099-111-113-115-121-149- 161-173-175-199-040100- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0063.230303T1940Z-230304T0100Z/ NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AVERY BUNCOMBE BURKE CALDWELL CLAY CLEVELAND GRAHAM HAYWOOD HENDERSON JACKSON MACON MADISON MCDOWELL MITCHELL POLK RUTHERFORD SWAIN TRANSYLVANIA YANCEY

Yeah no kidding. Going to get wicked this evening.