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GATECH

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Posts posted by GATECH

    January Banter 2021

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    2 hours ago, H2O said:

    Didn't want to let this go unanswered.

    Yes, my numbers most winters are similar to DCA.  And the problem is that everyone jokes on how absurd DCAs numbers often are for some events.  But a lot of times my numbers back them up.  On marginal events the anecdotal and true numbers are horrific.  The urban area around me hasn't changed drastically in the last 15-20 years so what is causing things to be terrible for areas just south of DC?  You can't just blame EVERYTHING on elevation or lack thereof.

    I have learned that there is/are microclimates all over the DMV.  The same places that get deathbanded over and over even when radar says it should be snizzle.  What I see happening more and more IMBY is:

    Longer waits for precip to start(snow hole), lighter echoes where good precip dries up, earlier cut offs, and the biggest one is ease of warm layers both above and surface to punch into my neck of the woods.  

    We just don't radiate well anymore and that is a product of UHI.  But for marginal events its lack of cooling AND warmer base state that screw many from seeing frozen.  The base state is getting worse.  I know a lot of data is now showing that its more where lows are just screaming warm the last few years.  And its not just winter.  Its all year long.  Summer lows that are 70s-80s, fall/spring that stay warm.  Everyone stares at high temps and scream thats proof of a warming but its really the lows.  So when you just can't cool off like before then borderline events are already doomed for much of the S DC area.  

    I can say without a doubt that to get any sort of good event now you have to have temps in the 20s to start, slamming precip and a perfect track storm.

    The microclimate thing is super interesting, I live in the general area as @H2O though I have the tropical Potomac lurking about 500 yards to my east.  I am due south of DCA, and old town, for the most part my weather mirrors DCA with some major exceptions.  I find my snowfall is generally greater than DCA during a widespread event, by about 2-5 inches during big dogs.  In all the 2009-2010 storms and with 2016 I found this to be the case.  Jokes about how they measure DCA snowfall aside, I have been trying to figure out why.  Biggest theory is the UHI.  I am way less urban than DCA/old town.  Single family neighborhoods with lots of trees and lots of forested parkland make a ton of difference.  I usually drop 5 degrees on the car thermometer from old town to my house.  The snow we got in November of 2018 could be a perfect example of how this benefits me, though it’s extremely rare.    

    • Like 1

    January Banter 2021

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    1 hour ago, H2O said:

    Most super bowls have good food ties.  Like a KC and GB one would have BBQ and cheese/kielbasa.  Or BUF and GB would be wings and pretzels and beer cheese dip.

    This one will be Rib and sand.  TB has nothing to be famous for.  

    Wife grew up and was a fan of the orangsicle Bucs...as in was given free tickets and Budweiser vouchers because no one would go to games.  Tampa Bay has great food, Cuban influence for sure!  Cuban sandwiches, great fish/seafood!  Also an awesome craft beer scene down there!  

    Mid-Atlantic winter 2020-21 snowfall contest

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    On 12/21/2020 at 2:55 PM, leesburg 04 said:

    Congrats GATECH on your victory this year. Shame we couldn't get more snow but this was one hell of a guess. Great job!

    Here we are mid January with but crumbs to track for the next 15 days...I am about ready to say screw it, I want the shutout to win this thing...Wall to wall lead in the snowfall contest would be epic...so close to going to the dark side and checking into my Panic Room Suite....

    January Banter 2021

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    I came to Deep Creek, Md for some snow, nada...guess I should have booked a cabin in Waco, Tx.  I should just check in to my Suite in the the Panic Room.  On the plus side I am still winning the snowfall contest....

    January Medium/Long Range Disco Thread

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    17 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said:

    meaning there hasn't been a good pattern yet and it was stated quite clearly that post January 15th and later was our better shot not January 8th. Full diaper?

    I know, I know, just testing the waters on future whining.  All I know is that I am currently winning the snowfall contest, and I am not happy about it!

    • Haha 1

    January Medium/Long Range Disco Thread

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said:

    If I were to be serious for a second I actually don't think it's about not being wrong I think it is because as we exhibit on here daily when things don't go the way we want some react like a bunch of toddlers with a full diaper....do any of us really believe that there aren't a ton more people like that in the general public? I think they do it right to play it safe and down the middle even though it drives us nuts....but...look at how some here are acting when a pattern that really is still about 15 days away are acting because we started talking about it positively in late December...some just got too excited before it really is time to be excited. All my opinion anyway...now back to NOT being serious.

    The acting out is because the good pattern is always 15 days away, it’s been 15 days away since Dec 15....

    December Banter 2020

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    2 hours ago, Always in Zugzwang said:

    Cool!  Our time there at GT may have even overlapped it appears (completed my Ph.D. in 1999, was in the area from 1994-2001).  I think I know that bar/restaurant you're referring to right on Piedmont Park, but offhand cannot recall the name.  Probably changed hands since then anyhow.  I used to live close to that shopping plaza near the corner of Monroe and 8th St., some interesting places there at the time.  Also liked the Virginia Highlands area.  I haven't been back  in many years (too long, I should visit again!), but still have a couple of friends I'm in touch with regularly.  We used to get some damn fine martinis over at the Highland Tap (in the VA Highlands area)!

    We definitely overlapped, LOL!  Nice! I may have been banned at highland tap after an unfortunate bachelor party (we went back to re-live our youth in 2005), things went sideways, we ended up at Cheetah 3, we somehow lost the bachelor.   Love me some highlands.  I have bunches of HS and GT friends still in the area, last of the family left years ago.  Need to take my son to a football game sometime post COVID!

    December Banter 2020

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    8 minutes ago, Always in Zugzwang said:

    Great screen-capture of that!  I saved a bunch of stuff from all those storms that winter, mostly model data.

    Cute dog, by the way!  Hard to tell if he's playing, or lying there comfortably thinking "now *this* makes a nice bed!!":lol:

    BTW, was curious and meaning to ask when you were at GA Tech (going by your name here!)?  I went to grad school there, long ago last century in the late '90s, and continued living in the Atlanta area afterward until 2001 when I moved up this way.  Really liked Atlanta for the most part, to be honest!  I've told people that it's not exactly what one would call a "tourist town", but if you live there, you know the places to go!  Ran the Peachtree a few times, too (could never do that again now, haha!)...nice to have it finish practically right in my back yard when I was living near Piedmont Park!  Alas, all my fine Peachtree T-shirts are now gone, having worn out some time ago!  Might still have one of those long-sleeve ones from the GT 5K run around campus that they had every November.

    @Always in Zugzwang Yep, grew up in Atlanta, went to Colorado to study Meteorology, but the school stunk, literally, U. Of N. Colorado in Greeley, if the winds blew from the east, we got the stench of the cattle feed lots, LOL.  still have my laminated skew-T chart somewhere.Transferred to GT and studied International affairs, undergrad and Grad.  Graduated grad school in 98, then moved up here.   Loved my time at GT and growing up in the Atlanta area, but was ready for a change.  Totally agree, if you know the cool places and little nieghborhoods, it’s lots of fun.  Use to hang out a lot at that Bar/Restaurant at Piedmont park back then.

    That was Tuck, picture is from the end of the storm after 20in.  He was standing and was just kinda stuck.  Have a lab now, named ‘Thunder’ lol.  He has never seen snow, can’t wait for that to happen!
     

     

     


     

     

    December Banter 2020

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    28 minutes ago, WhiteoutMD said:

    I remember when the GFS would have a fantasy snowstorm in the long range almost once a day during its daily model runs. Now we can’t even get it to show snow over us in the long range. emoji14.png


    .

    In 2009/10, they weren’t fantasies though, LOL.

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