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Amped

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Everything posted by Amped

  1. Euro has mostly freezing rain for the day 4-5 storm. This has some nasty icing potential.
  2. Yeah 500mb looks great but surface high maybe a bit too far south. Kind of a map you wanna make a "What will it do next?" pool for.
  3. Models are showing a dryslot near I81 where the coldest air would be. Kind of a screwjob until you get to central PA on the GFS or upstate NY on the CMC.
  4. CMC/GFS look suppressed with the day 7 storm, last night was an amped up firehose. Edit: check out the run to run consistency day 6.
  5. Euro just misses with the weenie fantasy KU storm day 8 extrapolated from the ICON and Navegem. In pretty good agreement with the CMC though. Just need the PV to linger back a little longer and the southern stream a bit less amped.
  6. Glad to see mostly hits or misses to the south. Also think there will be a double jackpot for this event. 1 in the western mountains from upslope flow and the other along the Delmarva from the coastal storm.
  7. There going to be a historic snow and historic ice somewhere in the eastern half of the country. Just don't know where yet.
  8. Great run, I sill want another tick or two south before the north trend starts. Gotta have some insurance.
  9. GFS keeps parading lows out of the gulf and up the stationary front.
  10. I'd rather see this over Norfolk to give us a chance at surviving the north trend.
  11. I think if the NAO holds through mid March , I don't think 3 6+ events with 2 of them being 10+ is that unreasonable to ask for.
  12. At least he's mostly on the NE subforum this year.
  13. While the GFS Para is broken, might as well take advantage of the opportunity and move the NAM to it.
  14. I will be really upset if we end this epic blocking period without an Epic snowstorm in our region. It's been -NAO all of January and likely most of FEB too. If we just get nickel dimed and fringed, then this winter is huge disappointment.
  15. We did see ta pretty similar setup on 1/26 and the day 5 models didn't work out too well. Use with caution
  16. Yep sounds exactly like the April 2018 storm in CT. Measured 7" on my parents deck at 10AM was down to about 1" by sunset.
  17. If they did they've probably already melted back below it.
  18. Also watch day 5-7 on future Euro runs. There is a PV north of the great lakes, but the jet is configured so that there is a right entrance region over the eastern half of the US ,and a surface high. This will enhance any disturbance that tries to dig in the plains or MS valley.
  19. Someone else was coming back from VT in that. We were on a HS ski trip, think t was Okemo. We ended up having to return to CT a day early. Hit snow S of Hartford.
  20. My favorite non Canadian fantasy storm of the year. Historic snow and ice storm across a huge area. Slower moving than 2003 or 1996.
  21. TooK the gfs over 36hrs to get the snow from Arkansas to DC. But after that it's an awesome storm day 11-12.
  22. I'm pretty much calling for 2-4" with marginal surface temps like most other mets here? But apparently that makes me a know it all giving everyone the finger.
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