Amped
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Everything posted by Amped
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Remember when we had this setup in Dec 1960 and Dec 1995 and NYC to BOS actually got decent snow out of it? Dec 2003 wasn't all that different either.
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1013mb at 78hrs 975mb at 102hrs.
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I'll take it over the wonky GFS 3 piece vortex split that's trending west every run.
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CMC looks nothing like the gfs at 120. It just has one big bowling ball over the MS valley. Has no intention of splitting it like the GFS
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Thought that was a crazy hook, but it at 500mb it looks like the original low goes up into NS and another low forms near the cape and bombs in the gulf of ME.
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Advertisement for the 2020 hurricane season Only 1 of these 30 storms will make it to category 5. Which one will it be? Spend 6 months watching the whole friggen season to find out.
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Implied 60% chance the 2020 Hurricane season is done.
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The EPS has quite a members that support the GFS intensity and make landfall further west than the OP or GFS.
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50-100cm or (20-40" ) of rain along the central America coast.
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Almost the perfect test storm. We will find out if Tampa has it's shit together for the big one.
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Feels like we're stuck in a time loop
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Not very strong, but it is taking a bad track for Tampa. Sometimes these types of systems can be a problem. The Isaias fiasco in CT,NY,NJ earlier this year was an example. Luckily there is no midlatitude storm nearby this time to give the winds a boost.
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2005 was better by a long shot, it wasn't even close. I really wish 2020 would just concede already, and congratulate 2005 on it's hard fought victory.
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Took it back into the Caribbean and hit Cancun as a 950mb Cat 4
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There's an outside shot this hits Miami or the FL keys as a CAT 1. It would be the 7th Hurricane landfall this season.
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Definitely still Eta. It drops below TD and a new center forms, but it's still within the same disturbance. Harvey and Lee in 2017 were gone for a lot longer before they reformed and kept the same name.
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He doesn't officially state why they turned back, but sounds like it was rough.
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It's been making more progress west the past few hours. It stalled just long enough to bust my prediction that the new eyewall would not have a chance to takeover.
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Anything but yesterdays 12z euro which had it ducking under the troff. That was a practically impossible stunt.
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This was supposed to be inland a long time ago. It's running around in circles offshore.
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Euro finally bringing ETA across Cuba. Took it longer than just about every other model. It has not been great with TC tracks this year.
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I haven't seen an update from the old recon in 45minutes other than the sonde.
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Bust cancel
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Not enough time for an eyewall merger. The inner eyewall is probably still deepening though.
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Don't ask me why but the HWRF is actually showing the strongest winds in the southwest quad
