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Amped

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  1. Amped
  2. Amped
    This is one of the more complex setups we've seen in the 2-4 day timeframe. Northern end of the wave is splitting off and the southern end is phasing, not to mention a few other disturbances coming in behind it. I could see wild swings in models up until the final 24hrs kind of like 12/26/10.
  3. Amped
    The surface low and the 500mb low are 800 miles apart on some models. The precip moves in lockstep with the baroclinic zone at this point. Even better if the baroclinic zone is further north In AL/MS so the low gets cranking earlier.
  4. Amped
    Icon and RGEM keep us in the game at least. The GFS is
  5. Amped
    Not bad at 500mb. I'll take that look and assume they'll be precip further northwest.
  6. Amped
    NAM 500mb looks like Gollum's spine.
  7. Amped
    Agreed looking at the 18z Euro 72, there is no reason to believe it would be drastically different with the storm than 12z.
  8. Amped
    Euro is an outlier with both the northern and southern streams. Even if it turns out correct I don't think anyone should be taking it's solution literally yet. We're going to need perfect timing to get a HECS in this chaotic pattern.
  9. Amped
    Only need to get the southern stream 500 miles further east and the northern stream 500 miles west for it to look like the Euro.
  10. Amped
    Trend on CMC since showing the HECS, A lot less phasing now. However with the 500mb low tracking over us, there is still a good chance for an over-performing high ratio event kind of like 1/30/10.
  11. Amped
    Way better than the GFS, which has an ugly gap between the northern and southern streams. RGEM should at least phase half of it.
  12. Amped
    Winds keep getting louder
  13. Amped
    Just flipped to mostly sleet in downtown columbia.
  14. Amped
    Still got mostly snow, mixing line just to the south.
  15. Amped
    Heaviest snow of the storm. Got maybe another 30 minutes here in columbia before the mixing line gets in.
  16. Amped
    Keeps it south of us but keeps us in the game. Exactly where we want to see it the next 3 days..
  17. Amped
    500 MB evolution
  18. Amped
    Euro might even improve upon the CMC
  19. Amped
    CMC looks very similar to the January 1978 KU storm. https://meteocentre.com/reanalyses/get_reanalyses.php?lang=en&mod=ncep&area=na&yyyy=1978&mm=01&dd=20&run=06
  20. Amped
    CMC troff goes negative way to early, but the 1047mb high over Iowa doesn't care.
  21. Amped
    Knickerbockered
  22. Amped
    GFS and CMC dig the shortwave further west, It doesn't result in an apps runner. Fingers crossed.
  23. Amped
    Impressive snowstorm in the SE. Another closed low 500 low moving across the gulf coast
  24. Amped
    Fun forecast for the Cleveland metro.
  25. Amped
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