Jump to content

Amped

Members
  • Posts

    14,184
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by Amped

  1. Agreed looking at the 18z Euro 72, there is no reason to believe it would be drastically different with the storm than 12z.
  2. Euro is an outlier with both the northern and southern streams. Even if it turns out correct I don't think anyone should be taking it's solution literally yet. We're going to need perfect timing to get a HECS in this chaotic pattern.
  3. Only need to get the southern stream 500 miles further east and the northern stream 500 miles west for it to look like the Euro.
  4. Trend on CMC since showing the HECS, A lot less phasing now. However with the 500mb low tracking over us, there is still a good chance for an over-performing high ratio event kind of like 1/30/10.
  5. Way better than the GFS, which has an ugly gap between the northern and southern streams. RGEM should at least phase half of it.
  6. Just flipped to mostly sleet in downtown columbia.
  7. Still got mostly snow, mixing line just to the south.
  8. Heaviest snow of the storm. Got maybe another 30 minutes here in columbia before the mixing line gets in.
  9. Keeps it south of us but keeps us in the game. Exactly where we want to see it the next 3 days..
  10. CMC looks very similar to the January 1978 KU storm. https://meteocentre.com/reanalyses/get_reanalyses.php?lang=en&mod=ncep&area=na&yyyy=1978&mm=01&dd=20&run=06
  11. CMC troff goes negative way to early, but the 1047mb high over Iowa doesn't care.
  12. GFS and CMC dig the shortwave further west, It doesn't result in an apps runner. Fingers crossed.
  13. Impressive snowstorm in the SE. Another closed low 500 low moving across the gulf coast
  14. Fun forecast for the Cleveland metro.
  15. Freshly thawed ground is even worse. Not having leaves on the trees will be helpful though.
  16. That looks nasty. Probably widespread power outages again for CT. This time MA and RI don't miss out.
  17. GFS slowly figuring out 85kt southeast winds at 850mb aren't good for snow.
×
×
  • Create New...